How Indonesia is Setting Limits for China’s Maritime Expansion in Asia

Indonesia declined this month to negotiate with China over a tract of sea where Beijing says it should have usage rights.But Beijing isn’t pressuring Jakarta like it does Malaysia, Taiwan, and Vietnam when they offend China’s sovereignty claims.The populous Southeast Asian archipelago can snub China because of its international clout, and the approach has indirectly helped other countries resist Chinese influence in the 3.5 million-square-kilometer South China Sea that’s prized for natural resources.Unlike smaller Asian nations, Indonesia with its 273 million people represents a military and political “middle power,” a giant market and a core force in the 10-member Association of Southeast Asian Nations. It is a key country in the Islamic world extending into the Middle East, says Enrico Cau, Southeast Asia specialist with the Taiwan Strategy Research Association.“Indonesia is not really the type of country you can actually force to coercion as you can do in other cases,” Cau says. “Indonesia is a very different case for a variety of reasons.”Scholars say that confronting Indonesia’s maritime claims could put tens of billions of dollars in Chinese trade at risk, and in the worst case, spark a backlash against ethnic Chinese people in Indonesia reminiscent of anti-China riots in 1998.Beijing and Jakarta dispute a swathe of the South China Sea north of Indonesia’s outlying Natuna islands. Indonesia says there is no cause for dispute because its claim follows international maritime law.FILE – China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi shakes hands with Indonesia’s Coordinating Minister for Maritime Affairs Luhut Pandjaitan before a meeting at the Diaoyutai State Guesthouse in Beijing, China, Oct. 24, 2018.China is keeping quiet, as Indonesia bolsters military defenses near the contested waters. After a 2016 incident when an Indonesian navy corvette fired warning shots at Chinese fishing fleet, the Southeast Asian country upgraded a Natuna air base to let two types of fighters and attack helicopters operate nearby. Indonesia is expanding on its own and “growing really fast,” Cau says.To sit down for talks would imply China has rights to the tract of sea and give it more leverage in the wider dispute involving other countries, said Evan Laksmana, senior researcher for the Centre for Strategic and International Studies think-tank in Jakarta.“It’s about the potential legality of China’s claim overall,” Laksmana said. “If we implicitly or inadvertently acknowledge China’s rights, either we haphazardly negotiate or have talks or even give China rights to fish and all that, then it would strengthen their overall claim against the other claimants in the area.”Brunei, Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan and Vietnam claim all or parts of the sea. China, which has Asia’s strongest armed forces, has alarmed other parties to the dispute since 2010 by landfilling tiny islets for military use. In recent months, China has sent survey ships and coast guard vessels in waters it disputes with Malaysia and Vietnam. It also flew eight military planes along the edge of Taiwan’s air defense zone this month through June 24.Indonesia should expect to find more Chinese vessels near the Natuna islands, scholars say. China needs the fish because catches are thinning closer to its own coasts, said Carl Thayer, Southeast Asia-specialized emeritus professor at the University of New South Wales in Australia. China is drilling for undersea fossil fuel in some parts of the sea as well.“China and Vietnam have polluted their coast and coastal waterways, traditional fishing grounds (and) overfished, so the most lucrative fishing is in the south.” Thayer said.Indonesia would keep pushing back with its navy coast guard and lodge diplomatic protests, Laksmana said. China is unlikely to raise its game, he said.Indonesia found about 60 “trespassing” Chinese vessels in 30 locations within its maritime exclusive economic zone in December, the research platform East Asia Forum says. More Chinese vessels came a month later and media reports from Jakarta said Chinese coast guard vessels had escorted some.Indonesia protested to the Chinese ambassador then and sent warships plus F-16 fighter jets to patrol the region.The United Nations is the latest forum for the two sides’ claims. The Chinese government told U.N. Secretary-General António Guterres in a letter this month that China and Indonesia have overlapping claims in parts of the South China Sea. China normally cites historical documents to back its claims.China was responding to a note from the Indonesian government to the U.N. head on May 26. Jakarta had rejected Beijing’s nine-dash line that it uses to demarcate South China Sea claims.

your ad here

Thailand, Myanmar Burn More Than $2 Billion in Seized Drugs

Authorities in Myanmar and Thailand say they destroyed more than $2 billion in seized illegal drugs Friday to mark the International Day Against Drug Abuse and Illicit Trafficking. In Bangkok and in Thailand’s Ayutthaya province to the north, government officials incinerated 25 tons of confiscated drugs, including methamphetamine, “ice,” ecstasy, cocaine and heroin. National Police Lieutenant General Wisanu Prasarthong-osoth told the Reuters news agency drug dealers have not let the COVID-19 lockdown slow them down. He said they have resorted to sending drugs through the mail and other parcel delivery services.Policemen wearing personal protective equipment guard seized illegal drugs before burning them during a destruction ceremony to mark International Day Against Drug Abuse and Illicit Trafficking outside Yangon, Myanmar, June 26, 2020.In Myanmar’s capital, Yangon, the national police force burned $144 million worth of seized drugs. Confiscated drug stockpiles were also destroyed in Mandalay, Lashio and the Shan State capital, Taunggyi. The country remains the second biggest producer of heroin and the source of most of South East Asia’s methamphetamine, which is mostly produced in border regions outside the government’s control, authorities said. The U.N. General Assembly passed a resolution in 1987 designating June 26 as the International Day Against Drug Abuse and Illicit Trafficking as an expression of its determination to strengthen action and cooperation to achieve the goal of an international society free of drug abuse. 
 

your ad here

Stranded Rohingya Pulled to Shore by Sympathetic Indonesians

Nearly 100 Rohingya asylum-seekers stranded off the coast of Indonesia were pulled to shore Thursday by locals angered at the refusal of authorities to give them shelter over coronavirus fears.Some 94 people from the persecuted Myanmar minority — including 30 children — were reportedly plucked from a rickety wooden boat by fishermen this week before being intercepted by maritime officials from Sumatra island who pulled them closer to shore.But officials in Lhokseumawe city on Sumatra’s northern coast refused to allow the group to land, citing coronavirus concerns.Angry locals took matters into their own hands Thursday by jumping into boats which they used to pull the asylum seekers to shore.Residents gathered on a local beach cheered the move, according to an AFP reporter on the scene.”It’s purely for humanitarian reasons,” said fisherman Aples Kuari.”We were sad seeing kids and pregnant women stranded at sea,” he added.Earlier Thursday, local police chief Eko Hartanto said they wanted to send the Rohingya back to sea rather than give them temporary shelter.But authorities appeared to soften that stance in the face of local protests, and the weary group are now temporarily being put up in private residences.The Rohingya would be checked by medical staff to ensure they were virus-free, according to Aceh’s rescue agency.Amnesty International praised the spirit of the rescue.”Today’s disembarkation of Rohingya refugees is a moment of optimism and solidarity,” said Indonesia Executive Director Usman Hamid in a statement.”It’s a credit to the community in Aceh who pushed hard and took risks so that these children, women and men could be brought to shore. They have shown the best of humanity.”Indonesia and neighboring Malaysia are favored destinations for Muslim Rohingya fleeing persecution and violence in mostly Buddhist Myanmar, with thousands trying a perilous escape via smugglers across the sea every year.Muslim-majority Indonesia has previously allowed Rohingya refugees to land and allowed many to stay.But their plight has been compounded in recent months as officials have turned them away over concern they could be harboring the deadly coronavirus.Around a million Rohingya live in squalid refugee camps in Bangladesh, where human traffickers also run lucrative operations promising to find them sanctuary abroad.On Wednesday, a coastguard official in Malaysia said dozens of Rohingya were believed to have died during a four-month boat journey to that Muslim-majority nation.There had been more than 300 people on board the boat which was intercepted by authorities earlier this month, with 269 survivors given temporary shelter.”Some of them died at sea. They were thrown overboard,” Zubil told reporters, without specifying the exact number.Zubil said the group had been on a mothership carrying more than 800 people before being transferred to a second vessel.Authorities have not found the original boat, thought to be now carrying around 500 people.Authorities have yet to confirm if the group who landed off Indonesia’s coast belonged to that larger group. 

your ad here

Canada’s Trudeau Rejects Pressure to Release Chinese Executive 

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is refusing to release Chinese high-tech executive Meng Wanzhou in exchange for two high-profile Canadians under arrest in Beijing. Meng is the chief financial officer of Huawei and is wanted by the United States accused of fraud. Nineteen former Canadian politicians and diplomats, including ex-foreign affairs ministers Lloyd Axworthy and Lawrence Cannon, sent a letter to Trudeau appealing to him to free Meng.  They wrote that it would give Canada the opportunity to “redefine its strategic approach to China.” “There is no question that the U.S. extradition request has put Canada in a difficult position. As prime minister, you face a difficult decision. Complying with the U.S. request has greatly antagonized China,” the letter says, according to the CBC.  But Trudeau said that “randomly arresting Canadians doesn’t give you leverage over the government of Canada. … We cannot allow political pressures or random arrests of Canadian citizens to influence the functioning of our justice system. So I respect these individuals, but they’re wrong.” Canadian authorities arrested Meng in Vancouver in 2018 on a U.S. warrant. She is out on bail. Shortly after her arrest, Chinese authorities detained former Canadian diplomat Michael Kovrig and entrepreneur Michael Spavor, charging them with spying.  Their arrests infuriated Canada. Both are in a Beijing jail and have not had access to Canadian diplomats since January. Canada has also placed trade sanctions on a number of Chinese exports. The Trump administration wants to extradite Meng from Canada for trial. As chief financial officer of Huawei — one of the world’s largest manufacturers of smartphones — Meng is accused of lying to U.S. officials about Huawei’s business in Iran, which is under U.S. sanctions.  The U.S. has also warned other countries against using Huawei-built products, suspecting the Chinese government of installing them with spyware.  Both Meng and Huawei deny all the U.S. allegations.   

your ad here

Hun Sen Tempers Speculation Son Will Be Next Cambodian Leader

Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen has groomed his eldest son as a potential successor ever since that son, Hun Manet, graduated from the U.S. Military Academy at West Point almost 20 years ago, and is confidently predicting his ruling Cambodian People’s Party will remain in power for another 100 years.
 
Analysts say, though, that that rise is far from certain and Lieutenant General Hun Manet – who also heads the army – will have to negotiate the CPP politburo, factionalism, a fickle public and China to win enough support to govern this one-party state.
 
Even Hun Sen, the region’s longest-serving leader, has tempered recent speculation that the top job was his son’s for the taking, saying there were many capable candidates who could contest any future leadership bid.
 
“It depends on people’s voices. The first concern is whether the party would accept him. The second is the general elections,” he said in a speech after the latest bout of leadership speculation.
 
“I will support and educate him to unleash his fullest potential.”FILE – Son of Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen, Lt. Gen. Hun Manet, inspects military vehicles at ceremony at the National Olympic Stadium in Phnom Penh, Cambodia, June 18, 2020.Hun Manet’s elevation through the military ranks was swift, and his recent appointment as chairman of the CPP’s youth wing, alongside a political mission to China, and his father’s authoritarian rule, had further fueled talk about his political ambitions.
 
Gavin Greenwood, an analyst with A2 Global Risk, a Hong Kong-based security consultancy, told VOA that in raising Hun Manet’s potential succession, legitimate questions about Hun Sen’s rule are also raised, ranging from the prime minister’s health to military loyalty.
 
“It’s always where the trouble is now, in places with a strong ruler. It’s very rarely that the masses coming up from the bottom who are the threat, it’s the people around you,” he said, adding the leadership talk was one way keeping the troops in line.
 
“Why is he raising this whole issue now, specifically, or does he feel threatened?
 
“Is this essentially a warning to sections of the military that they need to remain loyal and to follow the dynasty and his son?” Greenwood asked.
 
“There’s more questions than answers, but with autocracy that’s usually the case,” he said.FILE – Son of Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen, Hun Manet (L), and his wife Pich Chanmoy show their inked fingers after casting their votes in general elections in Phnom Penh, Cambodia, July 29, 2018.Hun Sen returned his country to being a one-party state in 2018 elections, widely derided as a sham, when the CPP won all 125 seats in the National Assembly, the lower house of the country’s Parliament.
 
Victory was assured after the main political opposition party was banned, independent newspapers were closed or sold to government-friendly interests and human rights activists were jailed or fled.
 
Opposition leader Kem Sokha remains under house arrest on treason charges.
 
Carl Thayer, emeritus professor with the University of New South Wales, said that by grooming his son for leadership through political appointments but playing down his prospects in public, Hun Sen was limiting any potential rivals for the leadership.
 
“The minute Hun Sen says that; that’s the anointed one, then it gives the opposition, disgruntled forces the opportunity to attempt to organize and block it. So to keep everybody guessing is probably the better game that there is,” he said.
 
Prior to elections two years ago Hun Sen, 67, said, despite health concerns, he would lead Cambodia for another 10 years, until he is 75. He has also eschewed the West and its criticisms while forging closer ties with China, which has invested billions of dollars in Cambodia.  
 
“China is absolutely crucial,” Greenwood said in regard to any transfer of power. “Their record is that every country that borders China, China has – as far as its concerned – has issues with.
 
“The last thing they want in any of these countries is something that’s going to affect stability and order and cause any sort of repercussions and resonances that’s might come back over the border at them.”
 
Thayer echoed those sentiments.
 
“Whenever there’s a leadership transition, or about to be, China makes it clear to its friends who it doesn’t like, who it sees as anti-China, and who it would object to.
 
“So, China’s got to be convinced that Hun Manet will carry on like his  father and protect China’s interest and that the transition would not be destabilizing.”
 
Until then, Thayer said Hun Sen would remain the sole person to determine who replaces him, and he would be ably backed by Hun Manet and another son Hun Manith who is also in the military and heads the Defense Ministry’s Intelligence Directorate.  
 
“Hun Sen is the center of that regime and his network protects him,” he said. “He’s got two sons in the military. They would ensure, in the meantime, that the military isn’t used or moves against Hun Sen.”
 

your ad here

Japan to Abandon US Missile Defense System

Japan Defense Minister Taro Kono announced Thursday Japan had decided to scrap plans to deploy the U.S.-made land-based Aegis Ashore missile defense system that was intended to protect Japan from North Korean threats.The announcement came one week after Kono said the deployment was being suspended after it was discovered that the safety of the civilian community could not be guaranteed near the Mutsumi base in Yamaguchi, southwestern Japan, one of two sites for the proposed land-based missile defense system. The other unit was being planned in Akita in the north.  It had been discovered that, in the current design of the system, it could not be guaranteed rocket boosters from the missiles would not fall outside the base. Japan had promised it would never allow something like that to happen. But it said fixing the system would require a total redesign of, not only the software, but the hardware of the system, which would be too costly and time consuming.  At a Thursday news conference in Tokyo, Kono apologized for the inconvenience and said discussions would continue in Japan with the United States on how best to carry out the nation’s defense strategies.The Aegis Ashore defense system was aimed at bolstering the country’s capability against escalating threats from North Korea.

your ad here

Asia Markets Lose Ground, Europe Rebounds Amid New Surge of Coronavirus Cases 

Global markets are mixed Thursday, with Asia beginning the day sustaining serious losses due more pandemic-imposed gloom.   The S&P/ASX in Sydney had the biggest losses in the region, plunging 2.5%, and  Japan’s Nikkei index lost 1.2% for the day.  Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index dropped 0.5%, while Shanghai’s Composite gained 0.3%.   Seoul’s KOSPI index lost 2.2%, but Taiwan’s TSEC index rose 0.4%.  The Sensex in Mumbai was fluctuating in late afternoon trading.   The situation was much better in Europe, with the FTSE index in London up 0.2%, Paris’s CAC-40 0.4% higher, and Frankfurt’s DAX index up one percent. Oil markets are falling Thursday.  U.S. crude oil is selling at $37.79 per barrel, down 0.5%, and Brent crude trading at $40.20 per barrel, down 0.2%.The mixed situation is due to more bad news about COVID-19 from the United States, which posted more than 36,000 new coronavirus cases Wednesday, the highest one-day number of new cases since late April.  Most of the numbers came out of Florida and Texas, both of which posted over 5,000 new cases, and California, which posted a staggering 7,000 total new cases — a record day for all three populous states.  The news led to all three major U.S. indexes posting losses of well over 2%.   And Wall Street is likely to get off to a bad start Thursday, with the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and NASDAQ all trending downward in futures trading.     

your ad here

As Investors Move from China, Vietnam Adds EU Trade Pact to Arsenal

Volvo from Sweden, Adidas from Germany, and Zara from Spain are all European companies that have increased their investment in Vietnam in recent years. Analysts expect that trend to deepen when the Vietnam-European Union trade deal approved earlier this month by Vietnam’s National Assembly takes effect this summer, particularly as companies seek to reduce their reliance on neighboring China.Vietnam is one of only a handful of nations forecast to see economic growth this year amid the COVID-19 outbreak. Much of that growth will result from foreign investment, including investment facilitated by the EU-Vietnam Free Trade Agreement, or EVFTA. Governments from both sides have called it a “next-generation” deal because it not only decreases tariffs, but also contains language to hold companies to labor, environmental, and social standards.Sheng Lu, an associate professor in the Department of Fashion and Apparel Studies at the University of Delaware, said the deal will benefit textile and garment makers in the Southeast Asian nation as tariffs come down.“EVFTA will provide a level playing field for Vietnam, which is expected to see a continuous robust growth of its apparel exports to the EU and gain additional market shares in the years to come,” Lu said in an analysis of the agreement. “Meanwhile, not eligible for any EU preferential duty benefit, apparel exports from China are likely to face intensified competition in the EU market after the implementation of EVFTA.”Investment has been seeping out of China because the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as the U.S.-China trade war, has shown companies the dangers of pinning their supply chains on a single nation. When officials and consultants in Vietnam pitch it as the new destination for that investment, the EU trade agreement is one of the benefits they tout.Le Van Hanh, who advises companies interested in the Vietnam market through her work with the Vietnam office of AHK, German Chambers of Commerce Abroad, said the trade deal will eliminate 70 percent of tariffs between the two sides immediately, and 99 percent of tariffs in 10 years.“That sounds very great, right?” she said on the AHK podcast. “And furthermore, there are also commitments in services, public procurement, nontariff barriers, export duties, and a good regulatory package.”She described two German companies she has helped to relocate from China to Vietnam, including a textile manufacturer hit hard by new 25 percent U.S. tariffs. Moving to Vietnam was useful not just because of the tariffs, but also because many of the manufacturer’s suppliers were also moving there, she said.Her colleague, Bjorn Koslowski, said it is easier for European companies to move from China to Vietnam because both nations have a number of things in common, including Confucian values, an industrious work ethic, a drive for monetary success, and a drive to learn.“Many companies that invest here or do business with the Vietnamese, they are also convinced by the HR [human resource] quality,” he said. “Vietnam is very culturally similar to China and many companies have already worked with China.”Direct European investment in China peaked in 2012 and has been declining since, according to data compiled by Rhodium Group, a research firm, whereas investment into Vietnam has continued to rise. For instance, direct investment from Europe rose 27 percent from 2018 to 2019, according to Vietnam’s Planning and Investment Ministry.Some in China dismiss predictions that it will lose from Vietnam’s trade deal with the EU. Xu Liping, director of the Center for Southeast Asian Studies of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said Vietnam doesn’t have the scale to overtake China and the trade deal won’t suffice for EU companies to “decouple” from China.“Both the ‘takeover’ and ‘decoupling’ theories have been escalating in recent years, with China always passively involved,” Xu wrote in the Global Times, a newspaper of the Chinese Communist Party, but he termed both theories “wishful thinking.”

your ad here

South Korea Marks 70 Years Since Outbreak of War with North

South Korea is commemorating the 70th anniversary of the Korean War’s outbreak amid the coronavirus pandemic.The anniversary is not an official holiday, but the occasion is often marked with ceremonies, war photography exhibitions and tours to former battlefield sites for visiting foreign veterans.This year, many public observances have been scaled down or canceled because of the coronavirus, which health officials say is now in its second wave in South Korea.Kim Young-ho was among 370 Korean War veterans honored Thursday morning at a ceremony in Cheorwon County, northeast of Seoul and adjacent to the demilitarized zone that has separated the two Koreas since the early 1950s.Seoul’s Ministry of Patriots and Veterans Affairs estimates 84,000 Korean War veterans are still alive.In accordance with physical-distancing regulations, all participants in the event were required to wear masks and were seated a meter away from each other. Guest attendance was more limited than was the case in previous years, local officials said.Kim said it was inevitable that the commemoration needed to be smaller because of the coronavirus but that he is more disappointed that after 70 years, the standoff between the two Koreas is still not resolved.“I feel this status quo will last until I die,” the 89-year old said.Faced with restrictions on in-person observances, some cultural institutions are making their Korean War anniversary exhibitions available online.The Korean Film Archive is showing five feature-length movies about the war on its YouTube channel and will make several short films available on its video-on-demand service this month, planning official Jeon Min-hwa said, adding the screenings are meant to remind viewers that the conflict is “still ongoing.”  A peace treaty to officially end the war has still not been signed.The National Museum of Modern and Contemporary Art in Seoul is using its YouTube channel to display around 250 works of art that depict wartime scenes.Park Yu-lee, a communications official at the museum, told VOA by email the Korean War has gradually become “defamiliarized” in the public memory.The effect of the global pandemic on commemorations of the war outbreak anniversary is also being felt far beyond the divided peninsula, some historians said.Andrew Salmon, author of two books on the Korean War, said the coronavirus has added extra urgency to what is normally a “somber remembrance.”This year’s observances were meant to be a “last hurrah” for many of the conflict’s foreign veterans, who had planned to travel to South Korea for the occasion, the Seoul-based British writer said, adding that all of these men are now in the “twilight of their lives.”“This was probably the last anniversary that many of these men would have been able to attend,” Salmon said, “The living history of the war is fading.”   

your ad here

Some States Break Virus Records as US Caseload Grows Anew

Coronavirus hospitalizations and caseloads hit new highs in over a half-dozen states as signs of the virus’ resurgence mounted, with newly confirmed infections nationwide back near their peak level of two months ago.  
After trending downward for six weeks, the U.S. caseload has been growing again for over a week, particularly in the South and West. Some 34,700 new cases were reported nationwide Tuesday, according to the count kept by Johns Hopkins University. The number was higher than any other day except April 9 and the record-setting date of April 24, when 36,400 cases were logged.
 
While new cases have been declining steadily in early U.S. hot spots such as New York and New Jersey, several other states set single-day case records Tuesday, including Arizona, California, Mississippi, Nevada and Texas. Some of them also broke hospitalization records, as did North Carolina and South Carolina.  
“The question of how we’re doing as a nation is: We’re not doing so well. How are we doing as a state? Not doing so well,” said Dr. Jeffrey Smith, the county executive in Santa Clara County, California, home to Silicon Valley. Nearly 5,600 people have died of the virus in California, the most populous state.VOA Graphic COVID-19 Cases June 2020Cases are also surging in some other parts of the world. India reported a record daily increase of nearly 16,000 new cases. Mexico, where testing rates have been low, also set a record with more than 6,200 new cases.
But China appears to have tamed a new outbreak in Beijing, once again demonstrating its ability to quickly mobilize its vast resources by testing nearly 2.5 million people in 11 days.
In the U.S., the nation’s top infectious-disease expert, Dr. Anthony Fauci, told Congress that the next few weeks are critical to tamping down the surge and that people should avoid crowds or at least wear masks in them.  
Hours later, President Donald Trump rallied hundreds of young conservatives in a megachurch in Arizona as the state reported a record 3,600 new infections.
Ahead of the event, the Democratic mayor of Phoenix, Kate Gallego, made clear that she did not believe the speech could be safely held in her city, and she urged the president to wear a face mask. He did not. Trump has refused to wear a mask in public, turning it into a conservative-vs.-liberal issue.
In China, an outbreak that has infected more than 200 people in the capital this month appeared to be waning. China on Wednesday reported 12 cases, down from 22 the day before. Beijing reported seven new cases, down from 13.
Officials in Beijing said they tested more than 2.4 million people between June 12 and June 22. That’s more than 10% of the capital’s population of about 20 million.  
Authorities began testing people in and around food markets, then expanded the initiative to restaurant staff and the city’s 100,000 delivery workers. China also said it used data to find people who had been near markets for testing. It did not elaborate.
South Korea, which tamed its first wave of infections, is seeing another rise — this time in the Seoul region, where most South Koreans live. Authorities reported 51 cases Wednesday. The country has reported 40 to 50 new cases a day over the past two weeks.  
In India, with a population of more than 1.3 billion, the capital city of New Delhi is a rising concern, with the government criticizing its poor contact tracing and a lack of hospital beds. India has reported more than 450,000 cases of the virus, including more than 14,000 deaths.
Mexico reported nearly 800 new deaths on Wednesday. The country has recorded more than 190,000 cases and over 23,000 deaths, though officials acknowledge both are undercounts because of extremely low testing rates. Mexico has performed about half a million tests, or one for every 250 inhabitants.
In Europe, countries are both easing and increasing restrictions as the outbreaks evolve. Slovenia reintroduced mandatory use of face masks in public transportation and other enclosed public spaces after cases spiked in recent days, while Belgium said theaters and swimming pools could reopen next month. Infections there have nosedived over the past two months.  
In Africa, African Centers for Disease Control and Prevention chief John Nkengasong said the outbreak is “picking up speed very quickly,” with a steep increase in cases and deaths as more countries loosen lockdowns. Africa has seen nearly 325,000 cases and over 8,600 deaths.
Worldwide, more than 9.2 million people have been confirmed infected, and close to a half-million have died, by Johns Hopkins’ count.

your ad here

Taiwan Announces Aid Plan for Hong Kongers Who Have Fled to Taiwan

Taiwan announced recently a plan to use state funds to help Hong Kong protesters who have fled to Taiwan out of fear of prosecution at home. FILE – Taiwan’s President Tsai Ing-wen speaks in Taipei, in this handout picture taken May 20, 2020, by the Taiwan Presidential office.Chen said the office will open on July 1 and operate under the Taiwan-Hong Kong Economic and Cultural Cooperation Council. Only individuals who have already fled to Taiwan for political reasons can receive the benefits. The June 18 move was widely expected after Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen issued a directive on May 27, saying the island will create a plan to support Hong Kongers. Her directive immediately followed China’s approval of a draft national security law for Hong Kong. Political asylum in line with law Since Taiwan does not have a political asylum law, Chen said the humanitarian aid project will function under the authority of Article 18 of the Laws and Regulations Regarding Hong Kong and Macau Affairs. The article states that “necessary assistance shall be provided to Hong Kong or Macau residents whose safety and liberty are immediately threatened for political reasons.” Chen stressed that the move is not a rescue plan, but a show of support for the people of Hong Kong. “It will provide humanitarian assistance and care for Hong Kongers on a case-by-case basis in line with the existing law,” he said. Experts say that restricting the assistance to persons already in Taiwan shows the government’s balanced position on Hong Kong; that is, it provides practical support for the protesters while avoiding touching China’s internal affairs. Statistics produced by Taiwan’s National Immigration Agency show that 681 Hong Kong residents applied to reside in Taiwan at the height of last year’s pro-democracy protests in June and July. That was 45% more than in the same period in 2018. China’s Taiwan Affairs Council reacted strongly on Friday. “The so-called aid project of the DPP authorities once again exposed its political plot to intervene in Hong Kong affairs and undermine Hong Kong’s prosperity and stability,” said council spokeswoman Zhu Fenglian.  She added that “the conspiracy of Taiwan and Hong Kong independence to destroy [the] ‘One Country, Two Systems’ framework and split the country will never succeed.” Civic groups welcome move A joint statement by several civic groups, including Taipei-based Hong Kong Outlanders and the Taiwan Association for Human Rights, applauded the move. “We hope to work together with the Taiwan government on the humanitarian assistance project,” the statement said. Daniel, who stormed into Hong Kong’s Legislative Council during a pro-democracy protest last July and subsequently fled to Taiwan, said that he’s pleased with the Taiwan government’s move. A Hong Konger, he asked not to use his full name for fear of retaliation from Beijing. Fearing Arrest for Pro-democracy Activity in Hong Kong, Protestor Flees to Taiwan Some 200 Hong Kongers have opted for exile rather than face arrest, charges and possible prison sentences as China tightens its grip on their home  “This is a big milestone,” he said. “In the past, Hong Kong protesters can only resort to private organizations and NGOs for help.” Daniel also called on the Taiwan government to be cautious in deciding who is eligible for the assistance. He said no Hong Kongers would want to see outside forces taking advantage of the project to infiltrate Taiwan. Tsai reaffirmed her commitment to support Hong Kong on Thursday. Referring to the special aid project in a Facebook post, Tsai wrote that “the nation will continue to employ institutional power to provide Hong Kongers with practical support and assistance.”台灣援港專案,即刻啟動!
  
今天陸委會正式公布 #香港人道援助關懷行動專案,未來對於香港朋友的居留、安置、照顧,都會透過陸委會跨部會協調,整合民間力量公私協力來執行。
  
從今年7月1日開始, #台港服務交流辦公室…Posted by 蔡英文 Tsai Ing-wen on Thursday, June 18, 2020China’s state media Xinhua Agency said China has finished drafting the new security law for Hong Kong and that it was submitted to the standing Committee of the National People’s Congress on Thursday. The bill covers four categories of crimes — succession, subversion of state power, local terrorist activities and collaborating with foreign or external foreign forces to endanger national security. Those categories were not further defined. 
 

your ad here

Kim Jong Un Calls Off ‘Military Action’ Against South Korea 

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has suspended unspecified military action against South Korea, state media said Wednesday, an apparent reduction in tensions following weeks of threats from Pyongyang. At a preliminary meeting of the ruling party’s central military commission, Kim “took stock of the prevailing situation and suspended the military action plans against the south,” according to the Korean Central News Agency.   It is not clear exactly what steps Kim suspended and whether that means North Korea will now end its escalating campaign of provocations toward the South.  The moves surprised many in Seoul, where officials had been preparing for a possible extended downturn in relations. South Korean army soldiers patrol along the barbed-wire fence in Paju, South Korea, near the border with North Korea, June 15, 2020.A spokesperson for South Korea’s Unification Ministry, which handles relations with Pyongyang, said Seoul was monitoring the situation and would continue to adhere to inter-Korean agreements.  North Korea is upset at the South for failing to move ahead with a series of 2018 deals related to economic cooperation and reducing military tensions. International sanctions against North Korea have prevented Seoul from fully implementing the deals.   This month, North Korea took several steps to roll back many aspects of those inter-Korean agreements, including by demolishing the two countries’ de facto embassy just north of the border. The North also threatened to redeploy troops in parts of the demilitarized zone, resume military exercises in the border area, and cut off all official lines of communication with the South Korean government.   
 
In addition, state media have warned that North Korean university students are preparing to float 12 million propaganda “leaflets of punishment” into the South via thousands of balloons. South Korean soldiers take part in a live fire exercise near the demilitarized zone separating the two Koreas in Paju, South Korea, June 23, 2020.Why now? 
 
The threats fit a familiar negotiating strategy for North Korea: escalate tensions in order to later de-escalate, possibly to receive concessions or restart diplomacy.  
 
But it’s not clear why North Korea would de-escalate now, since it received no obvious concessions from the South, Ramon Pacheco Pardo, a Korea specialist at King’s College London, said.  
 
“It does seem a bit early to de-escalate,” Pacheco Pardo said. “Clearly they weren’t getting anything from South Korea other than a stern response. So that could be a reason.”  
 
Last week, the South Korean military said the North will “definitely pay” if it conducts any military provocation. Good cop? Many of North Korea’s threats this month were delivered by Kim Yo Jong, the increasingly powerful sister of Kim Jong Un.   By making Kim Yo Jong the public face of the pressure campaign, North Korea may have been trying to preserve Kim Jong Un’s ability to eventually reverse course and improve relations with Seoul.   However, many analysts caution it’s too soon to say whether the North has fully changed course, in part because its latest statement said only that the military action had been “suspended,” not reversed.  
 
“The way it’s worded, it seems to be a wait-and-see approach before deciding on the next step; i.e., more de-escalation or re-escalation,” Pacheco Pardo said. As of midday Wednesday, North Korea had given at least two other signs de-escalation was on the horizon. 
 
After Kim’s announcement that military action had been suspended, two North Korean propaganda outlets, DPRK Today and Meari, removed several recent articles that were critical of the South.  North Korea also began removing propaganda loudspeakers it had recently reinstalled on the DMZ, according to South Korean media.  
 
For decades, the two Koreas used the loudspeakers to denounce each other’s governments, as part of a psychological warfare campaign. The speakers were removed in 2018 as part of the inter-Korean military tension-reduction agreements. 

your ad here

China Sends 8 Military Planes into Taiwan Airspace; Analysts See Move as Warning to US and Others

Taiwan says Chinese military planes have flown into its air defense space six times in a single week and eight times this month, so far.    Although Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense escorts each aircraft away and alerts the public on an island that has long distrusted China, analysts believe leaders in Beijing are warning people as far away as Washington while helping to train their own troops in case of conflict in Asia.   The U.S. government has saddled China with a 2-year-old trade dispute, accused it of ignoring COVID-19 for too long earlier in the year and sailed its navy vessels in Asian waters to check Chinese expansion.  U.S. naval ships have sailed six times so far this year through the strait separating Taiwan from China, an irritant to Beijing. China claims sovereignty over self-ruled Taiwan and resents other countries for supporting it. The U.S. navy has also carried out four “freedom of navigation operations” in the South China Sea near Taiwan so far in 2020.  “I don’t think we can say it stops at Taiwan and then that’s it,” said Derek Grossman, senior defense analyst with the RAND Corp. research institution in the United States.  “There’s definitely some signaling to the U.S., as well,” he said. “Anything they can do to try to signal to the U.S. that it should not be getting as cozy with Taiwan as it has been over past few years, that’s an important thing.”  China also lacks military experience since its 1970s land war with Vietnam, experts say, and it wants to train for anything new that comes up. On paper China has the world’s third strongest armed forces and has ruffled other Asian countries by placing military infrastructure on disputed islets in the South China Sea. “We should say it this way, that China has multiple goals, multi purposes,” said Huang Kwei-bo, vice dean of the international affairs college at National Chengchi University in Taipei.   The Chinese planes spotted this month had crossed over the outer reaches of Taiwan’s air defense identification zone, according to Ministry of National Defense statements in Taipei. Taiwanese air force planes fly alongside each aircraft to make it leave. On Monday the ministry said a Chinese H-6 bomber and a Chengdu J-10 fighter jet had flown through the southwestern part of Taiwan’s airspace.   Chinese officials want Taiwan’s president, Tsai Ing-wen, to endorse a “One China” policy as condition for further dialogue. Tsai rejects the condition and most Taiwanese have told government surveys they prefer at least today’s degree of autonomy over Beijing’s goal of unification. China has claimed Taiwan as its own since the Chinese civil war of the 1940s.Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen waves after inspecting the military police headquarters in Taipei.Before this month and since Tsai took office in 2016, Chinese aircraft had passed near Taiwan only periodically and seldom crossed into Taiwanese airspace. The two sides lie 160 kilometers apart at their nearest point.   China has accused Washington of trying to stop Chinese expansion at sea. Australia and Japan have sent their own vessels into the South China Sea to remind China the waterway is open internationally. Washington historically sees Taiwan, Japan, South Korea and the Philippines as Asia Pacific allies against any conflict with China. U.S. senators are working this year on the Pacific Deterrence Initiative, a special budget for $1.4 billion in the plan’s first year for U.S. military activity in Asia and $5.5 billion in its second year. The bill is expected to bolster especially U.S. naval forces in the Western Pacific.   Pressure at home over the COVID-19 outbreak and offshore military moves directed at China are pressuring Chinese President Xi Jinping to show strength, said Huang Chung-ting, assistant research fellow with the Institute for National Defense and Security Research in Taipei.  “Xi Jinping’s attitude now is that he can’t fail,” the research fellow said. “He’s got to show he’s still got a lot of means. Whenever the external pressure goes up one point, he’s got to answer by ramping it up two points.”   Taiwan has sent marines to the Pratas Islands, three features it controls in the South China Sea, in light of China’s movements, domestic news media reported this week.  China’s planes have not approached Taiwan’s main island and they probably leave the air defense zone shortly after crossing into it, Huang Kwei-bo said. “We should feel worried, but not over-worried,” he said. 

your ad here

India, China Agree to Cool Border Tensions

India and China have agreed to cool tensions along their disputed Himalayan border following their worst border clash in 50 years that left 20 Indian soldiers dead.Indian army officials said on Tuesday “there was mutual consensus to disengage” following marathon talks held the previous day between military commanders of the two countries. The officials told local media that the “modalities for disengagement from all friction areas in eastern Ladakh are being discussed and will be taken forward by both sides.”Large contingents of Indian and Chinese forces are confronting each other at three strategic points in eastern Ladakh, a barren icy desert in the Himalayas along their disputed border.Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian takes a question at the daily media briefing in Beijing, April 8, 2020.In Beijing, Foreign Ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian said that the two sides “agreed to take necessary measures to cool down the situation.”Zhao said that both sides “had a candid and deep exchange of views on the border management and control issue, agreeing to take the necessary measures to lower the temperature on the situation.”Neither China nor India has given any details of how they will deescalate, but the statements were the first signal that both countries have made some progress in bringing down tensions that had spiraled dangerously over the past week.Commentators in New Delhi, however, pointed out that the disputed Himalayan border between the two countries would continue to be volatile, as the bloody brawl on June 15 had breached agreements that they had reached over the last 25 years to maintain peace.“The elaborate series of confidence-building measures put in place since 1993 have collapsed. That was the regime through which border patrols and army commanders were able to interact to maintain peace,” says Manoj Joshi, a security expert at the Observer Research Foundation in New Delhi. “Now the whole thing has come apart. What happens next time you meet a Chinese patrol?” According to earlier agreements, Chinese and Indian border patrols, which are often in close proximity, were not allowed to use firearms during any confrontation. While the latest incident involved hand-to-hand combat, it was more brutal than any in the past and fought with rocks and clubs studded with nails.Indian officials have called it “premeditated and planned action by Chinese troops.” Beijing has blamed India for the incident.The two countries also face a mammoth task in resolving the fresh disputes that have erupted in recent weeks along what is known as the Line of Actual Control.Indian officials have demanded the restoration of the status quo after accusing Beijing of entering its territory. China on the other hand has laid claim to the Galwan Valley in eastern Ladakh, where the clash between troops from the two sides took place.Indian Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar, who took part in a virtual conference with his counterparts from Russia and China on Tuesday, underlined the need to “respect international law and recognize the legitimate interest of partners.”Jaishankar said that the meeting “reiterates our belief in the time-tested principles of international relations. But the challenge today is not just one of concepts and norms, but equally of practice.” 

your ad here

Brussels Aims to Halt Purchases of Strategic European Firms by Chinese Investors

The European Union is moving to stop the purchase of strategic European companies by foreign subsidized corporations, especially from China.  The European Commission has taken a first step by adopting a white paper on distortions that foreign subsidized companies are causing in Europe.  More in this report by Alfonso Beato in Barcelona narrated by Jonathan Spier.
 

your ad here

For Vietnam’s Poor, Access To Relief Aid Key To Joining Re-Opening Economy

Vietnam has received favorable recognition worldwide for containing the spread of the novel coronavirus and reopening the nation’s economy, but that good news is small comfort for Tran Thi Hien, who collects scrap metal she can resell for cash. After the government announced a pandemic relief fund, she applied two times but says she has yet to hear back. Some suggested the reason for the delay is because she had to apply in her hometown. Others surmise that she was not in the eligible age range. Hien, 43, said the process was “too complicated” but held out hope. “The government’s support package is really a savior for independent workers like me,” she said. Even for a place like Vietnam, which reported zero coronavirus deaths and 349 cases, the pandemic hit the economy hard, with the impact falling hardest on laborers who live on meager subsistence wages. While white-collar employees could work at home or take paid days off in lockdown, those in the informal sector, such as Hien, must show up and do physical work if they’re going to afford food and housing. Supporters of the pandemic relief fund want to prevent a disconnect between the lofty goals of the aid package and the impact on citizens, particularly those in most need. Organizations, from Oxfam in Vietnam to the Pioneer Network for Ethnic Minority Voices, have stepped up with what they call “hotlines.” They compile feedback from people such as Hien and send it to labor and provincial agencies distributing the aid, as authorized in the state regulation, Decision 15/2020-TTg. Nguyen Thu Giang, executive director of Migrant Labor Action Network, or M.net, said she wants to help government agencies so they “can promptly compare, check and respond to people’s opinions, and at the same time make adjustments to policies or implementation methods, ensuring that Decision 15/2020-TTg is implemented, in a transparent and effective way.” The relief fund is worth close to $2.7 billion, though the ruling Communist Party has also tapped sister organizations to mobilize donations and volunteers, from the Youth Union to the Vietnamese Fatherland Front. Authors of a study of Vietnam’s COVID-19 response in Sustainability, a science journal, noted that the prime minister called on citizens to help “combat” the disease. “Responding to this call, one can easily see many images of bank transfer to the Vietnamese Fatherland Front on social media of Vietnamese people to support the government in the combat,” the study said. “On a larger scale, many enterprises, regardless of their size, also contributed to the national combat by donating their products such as masks, rice or milk, by donating their hotels for isolation wards—or most popularly—by donating cash.” Anti-poverty advocates are working to get as much of the aid money as possible to the most vulnerable in society. Oxfam in Vietnam said it is focused on the unemployed and the working poor, such as those who worked without contracts or were put on leave without pay during the pandemic. It also targets migrant workers such as Hien, who moved to the capital, Hanoi, from the nearby province of Nam Dinh. Many rural dwellers relocate to cities for better work opportunities but can’t access social services because they are not registered with local authorities.  Oxfam in Vietnam said it set up a hotline for the relief fund so that “no one is left behind.” “This initiative will create more opportunities for people to conveniently and confidently send feedback, from which the local government will have accurate, timely and quality information to provide better services,” Babeth Ngoc Han Lefur, Oxfam in Vietnam director, said.  

your ad here

Man Drives Car into Gate of Chinese Embassy in Argentina  

A man accused of ramming his car into the front gate of the Chinese Embassy in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Monday night is under arrest. The incident, which attracted a heavy police response, is under investigation in the Argentine capital. Police said no-one was hurt, including the 24-year-old Argentine driver. The Chinese ambassador to Argentina was not at the embassy at the time of the incident. There are reports the driver was seen on social media saying that he “knows the truth about COVID-19” and needed “help from the Chinese Embassy.”A source at the Foreign Ministry told the French News Agency, AFP,  the man drove into the closed gate after he was refused permission speak to officials inside the embassy. The Buenos Aires Times says unconfirmed reports in local outlets claimed the driver was allegedly looking for political asylum at the Chinese Embassy. 

your ad here

China’s Virus Tracking Technology Sparks Privacy Concerns

While battling a new cluster of COVID-19 infections, authorities in Beijing have been quick to make use of geo-spatial information, collected through mobile tracking devices in people’s smartphones to identify and isolate potential virus carriers.
 
The technology, enabled by the device’s built-in global positioning system, has helped officials locate hundreds of thousands of people who might have been to the Xinfadi wholesale food market after late May — the possible ground zero of the latest coronavirus outbreak.   
 
As of Sunday, authorities have confirmed a total of 236 new COVID-19 patients and 22 asymptomatic patients, many of whom are related to the market, Beijing’s health commission said in a press statement Monday.
 
Prior to the latest outbreak, China had accumulated more than 83,000 confirmed cases countrywide in the past six months, government statistics showed.
 Geo-spatial data
 
Thanks to the location data, more than 700,000 people at risk of alleged exposure to the market were said to have been notified, given or arranged to be given tests just days after the Xinfadi market was closed on June 13, local media reported.FILE – A man holds up his smartphone to share health app data as a government worker notes down his phone number at a checkpoint in Beijing, China, April 29, 2020.That shows how aggressive Beijing has been in containing the diseases although it also raises concerns about privacy, says Charles Mok, a lawmaker and tech entrepreneur in Hong Kong.
 
Some observers have long expressed worries that China’s virus tracking practices and apps, including an existent “QR code,” may outlast its outbreak.
 
The health QR code, which is widely used by Chinese citizens with smartphones, has since February doubled as digital entry passes in and out of residential compounds or public places after having integrated one’s travel history.
 
“The problem is also with privacy concerns because the biggest worry is that once this [latest practice of using spatial data] is in place, it is very difficult to take away,” Mok told VOA in a phone interview Monday.
 Privacy concerns
 
As thorough as it can be, Beijing’s virus tracking policy in the past week appears to have gone overboard since those who weren’t in direct contact with potential virus carriers from the market also got swept up, Mok said.
 
The lawmaker suspected that the Chinese authorities may be conducting a social experiment to see what they can do with the data.FILE – People who had their cars’ license plates recorded near Xinfadi market, a new coronavirus cluster, wait in line for swab tests for the coronavirus, at a testing center in Beijing, China, June 17, 2020.On Weibo, China’s Twitter-like social microblogging site, many residents in Beijing complained that they only passed by the market by car or by public transportation instead of setting foot into the market, but they still received text messages from the city government, which asked them to fill out a digital questionnaire before tests for virus were arranged.
 
Local media reported on Sunday that the city government in Beijing had completed testing of more than 2.3 million citizens, or around 10% of its population of 21 million.
 
Many say that they felt they had to comply with the city government’s instructions in order to ease their own minds as well.
 ‘Completely naked’
 
“Needless to say, we civilians are completely naked in front of the telecom operators,” one Weibo user commented, responding to other netizens’ complaints about a lack of privacy as a result of the government’s expansive virus tracking policy.
 
Another user wrote, “you’ve given up right to privacy when you started using the mobile phone.  Shall [telecom operators] make illegal use of your privacy [data], they can be prosecuted.  However, when personal safety is at stake, it becomes a way to control [the outbreak],” he added.FILE – Police and security personnel direct a photographer to refrain from taking pictures at a a cordon isolating a residential area near Xinfadi market, a new coronavirus hotspot in Beijing, China, June 20, 2020.That comment, Mok said, showed that Chinese people were becoming more and more tolerant of the government’s digital measures in stemming the epidemic.
 
It worries him, he said, because the Chinese government can easily find excuses in the future to extend its tracking policy for political reasons, and keep tabs on political dissidents.   
 No surprise
 
It comes as no surprise that China would find the technology useful in tracking potential virus carriers, as the government has long used technology to impose online censorship or block keywords on the Internet, said a tech professor from Taiwan, who specializes in mining geo-spatial data for commercial use.    
 
Combining the use of facial recognition and geo-spatial data, China has been successful in tracking citizens whose online comments were found to be critical of the government, the professor told VOA on the condition of anonymity given the matter’s sensitivity.
 
He said that many governments, including Taiwan’s, are using similar technology to help control the virus.  He added some have erected a virtual “electronic fence” to track the whereabouts of those under home quarantine.
 
But most governments are not as aggressive and invasive as China, which he said has shown little respect for individual’s privacy while accessing personal data, he added.
 
In lieu of regulations protecting personal information in China, telecom operators there also have little power in rejecting the government’s demand for personal information or exposing its misuse of private data, especially when the top management of many companies is politically connected, the professor added.
 

your ad here

US Urges Release of Canadians Detained in China  

U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo is urging the immediate release of two Canadians detained by China on allegations of espionage. In a statement released Monday, Pompeo said the United States was “extremely concerned” about their safety. “These charges are politically motivated and completely groundless,” said Pompeo. Full U.S. statement on FILE – People hold signs calling for China to release Canadian detainees Michael Spavor and Michael Kovrig during an extradition hearing for Huawei Technologies Chief Financial Officer Meng Wanzhou in Vancouver, Canada.The two were arrested shortly after Canada detained Huawei Chief Financial Officer Meng Wanzhou on a U.S. warrant. China has said that the two incidents are unrelated but some experts believe Kovrig and Spavor are being used as pressure against Canada. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has called the arrests of the two men “arbitrary.” Secretary of State Pompeo on Monday also echoed what he said was Canada’s call for immediate consular access to its two citizens, in accordance with the Vienna Convention on Consular Relations. “China has prohibited such access for almost six months, and the world has no knowledge of the two Canadians’ condition,” said Pompeo. 

your ad here

Australian State Reintroduces Restrictions as COVID-19 Cases Increase 

Increasing numbers of cases of COVID-19 have forced the Australian state of Victoria to bring back tougher restrictions beginning Monday.  New infections over the past two days have been at their highest for two months.  A state of emergency has also been extended.                  Most of Victoria’s new coronavirus cases are linked to clusters, often within extended families.  Other larger groups of infections have been detected at two hotels in the city of Melbourne.  Community transmission of the virus, rather than those infections acquired overseas by citizens who then returned home, is of great concern to health officials.   They are advising Australians to stay away from six COVID-19 hotspots in the Victorian state capital, while residents are being urged to remain at home.   Authorities want to set up so-called ‘rings of containment’ around localized outbreaks.   In neighboring New South Wales, officials are recommending citizens reconsider travel to Melbourne.   Various lockdown measures have gradually been eased across Australia in recent weeks, but officials in Victoria are blaming complacency for a spike in cases.   Limits on indoor and outdoor gatherings have now been reintroduced.   Victoria state premier Daniel Andrews says the community still needs to be vigilant.     “It is unacceptable that families anywhere in our state can just because they want this to be over pretend that it is.  It is not over,” he said.  “We have even had people who have tested positive and have been told to go home and isolate, and instead they have gone to work.”   Police officers are to step up their enforcement of the restrictions on group gatherings, particularly in Melbourne.  Checks will also increase on people who have been told to self-isolate because they had tested positive for the disease or were a close contact of someone who had.   A positive test also prompted the cancellation of an Australian Rules Football match in Melbourne following the recent resumption of games.   Australia has recorded just over 7,400 coronavirus cases.  Most patients have recovered, but 102 people have died.   The country’s international borders were closed to foreign nationals in March.  Widespread testing and contact tracing have helped Australia mostly contain the virus, but strict lockdown measures have inflicted great damage to the economy. 

your ad here

Analysts: India-China Clash Will Prompt New Delhi to Build Closer Ties with US

Spiraling tensions between India and China over rival claims to territory in the icy Himalayas could push New Delhi to embrace closer ties with the United States and countries like Japan and Australia as ties with Beijing come under severe strain.    Whether the dramatic escalation that has led to a huge military deployment by the nuclear-armed Asian giants along their disputed border intensifies or is resolved diplomatically, it will lead to “strategic and economic choices by India that may explicitly have an anti-China orientation,” according to Harsh Pant, director of studies at the Observer Research Foundation in New Delhi. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s response to the crisis will also influence the trajectory of New Delhi’s ties with its neighbors in South Asia, where Beijing has been challenging India’s predominant position, and determine whether the nationalist leader can fulfill his goal of raising India’s global profile.      Tensions that had been building since early May over India’s accusations of Chinese incursions in its territory have increased dangerously since a brutal hand-to-hand combat in Eastern Ladakh in which 20 Indian soldiers were killed on June 15.    Both countries have said they want to deescalate the crisis but have also hardened postures.    People carry the coffin of Satnam Singh, an Indian soldier who was killed in a border clash with Chinese troops in Ladakh region, during his fuenral ceremony in Bhojraj village in Gurdaspur, Punjab India, June 18, 2020.China has laid claim to the site of the bloody clash, the Galwan Valley, which New Delhi says was never part of the disputed border. This is not the only flashpoint — Indian and Chinese troops are also confronting each other at two other Himalayan ridges along the 3,488-kilometer-long Line of Actual Control. New Delhi wants the status quo restored and has vowed to defend its border with military force if necessary.  As the crisis plays out, calls to deepen engagement with the West to build leverage against China have grown. The Hindustan Times in an editorial said that New Delhi would have to reconsider its entire geopolitical posture, “double down on its partnership with the US” and be “a part of any club that seeks to contain Chinese powers.”    FILE – U.S. President Donald Trump and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi wave to the crowd at Sardar Patel Stadium in Ahmedabad, India, Monday, Feb. 24, 2020.In the past decade even as India moved steadily closer to Washington, there were always voices advocating caution. That is likely to change.    “Many in New Delhi had been arguing to go ahead one step at a time. The whole idea was that we have managed China and the border issue relatively OK, so don’t annoy Beijing to the extent that it can create problems for you,” says Harsh Pant. “But now trouble has been created. So, in a sense this opens up the space for the Modi government to more robustly engage with like-minded countries where in the past it was hesitant.”   Signs of that were already evident. This month, a major agreement signed by India and Australia will allow each country to use the other’s military bases.    India, say analysts, is also likely to drop its hesitation about how closely to embrace the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, known as “Quad” — an informal strategic grouping of India, the U.S., Japan and Australia that was revived in 2017 amid fears of China’s growing heft and assertiveness in the Indo-Pacific region.    “As a country we have avoided going one way or the other, but depending on who comes forward to help and what kind of help, that will determine where we move closer to,” says Jayadeva Ranade, a former senior security official who heads the Center for China Analysis and Strategy in New Delhi.     FILE – China’s President Xi Jinping and Nepal’s President Bidhya Devi Bhandari arrive at Tribhuvan International Airport, as Xi wraps up his two-day visit to Nepal, in Kathmandu on Oct. 13, 2019. (Prakash Mathema/Pool via Reuters)The manner in which the crisis plays out in the coming weeks will also impact India’s ties with smaller countries in its neighborhood, like Nepal and Sri Lanka, that China, with its deep pockets, has wooed by building roads and ports.    “The geopolitical competition in South Asia between India and China will sharpen,” says Happymon Jacob, a professor at the School of International Studies in New Delhi’s Jawaharlal Nehru University.    He points to Nepal’s recent approval of a map that shows territories traditionally claimed by India as belonging to Nepal, deepening strains that surfaced in recent years as the tiny Himalayan country, tucked between the Asian giants, moved closer to Beijing.  India’s army chief, Manoj Navarane said the issue might have been raised at “someone else’s behest”, which has been interpreted as an allusion to China.    “If we don’t respond to China effectively, Pakistan, Nepal, Sri Lanka may look at us differently, as a country that they need not bother about as long as they are friendly with Beijing,” Ranade warns. “They will reevaluate what kind of relationship they should have with us.”    Indian army soldiers rest next to artillery guns at a makeshift transit camp before heading to Ladakh, near Baltal, southeast of Srinagar, June 16, 2020.However, countering China’s challenge on a military level in the high Himalayas may not be easy — although India has one of the world’s largest armies, Beijing is considered a superior military power.  So, as it searches for ways to pressure China, India with its large market, is also considering economic options.  India had long hoped that the robust economic engagement, which has seen bilateral trade grow to more than $90 billion, would act as a counterweight to their more contentious border dispute. Those hopes have now been shattered.   New Delhi was already taking a more cautious approach to growing Chinese investments in India even before the clashes erupted — in April, in the wake of the coronavirus pandemic, India passed legislation requiring government approval for investments from Chinese companies. That trend could accelerate.    “The sentiment is changing. For example, India decided to bring in Huawei for trials of 5G wireless network, now that might not happen,” says Pant. “All those issues will become much more black and white for India.”    Analysts however warn that India’s economic options against China’s much larger economy are limited and could hurt New Delhi more than Beijing, especially when the Indian economy is in a downward spiral.    But as it mulls military, economic and political options in the weeks and months ahead, New Delhi may have to abandon its decades-long policy of “strategic autonomy” as it prepares not just to defend its borders but also push back against what commentators call the idea of Chinese domination of Asia. 

your ad here

China Sends Ship as Warning to Vietnam: No Court Case, No Oil Drilling

China sent a survey vessel through waters claimed by its maritime sovereignty rival Vietnam this month to warn Hanoi against starting new energy exploration projects and filing any motions in an international court, observers say. Tracking tools showed China’s 105-meter-long, 58-person survey ship Haiyang Dizhi 4 moving toward Vietnamese waters on June 14, Radio Free Asia reported. The vessel passed three days later within 200 nautical miles (370 kilometers) of Vietnam’s coast – a country’s normal exclusive economic zone – the report said.    That movement follows the passage of another Chinese vessel near Vietnam in April and a standoff at sea last year.Chinese Ship Returns Near Vietnam BorderShip could escalate tensions while both nations are dealing with COVID-19 The Chinese government, the most powerful entity in a six-way South China Sea sovereignty dispute that includes Vietnam, hopes its ships discourage Vietnamese leaders from filing for world court arbitration as the Philippines did in 2013, analysts believe.  At the same time, China is warning Vietnam against any new undersea oil or gas exploration projects near a nine-dash line that Beijing uses to demarcate its maritime claims, analysts say.  “What I would see as recent moves, including the most recent one, I think is meant to signal to Vietnam to think twice before resorting to all sorts of these means to undermine Chinese interests, and that includes striking up new deals with other energy partners and all that,” said Collin Koh, a maritime security research fellow at Nanyang Technological University in Singapore.   In November a deputy Vietnamese foreign minister cited arbitration and litigation as two possible measures against China.    Three years after Manila sued, a Permanent Court of Arbitration in The Hague ruled against the legal basis for China’s nine-dash line. China dismissed the ruling but used aid and investment on its own to strengthen relations with rival maritime claimants. Brunei, Malaysia and Taiwan also claim all or parts of the 3.5 million-square-kilometer sea.  Vietnam and China clashed at sea in 1974, 1988 and 2014, setting Hanoi apart from other sea claimants that seldom spark conflict. The first two incidents were deadly. In 2014 Vietnam charged China with ramming a Vietnamese fishing boat.  That incident along with upset over the placement of a Chinese oil rig sparked anti-Chinese rioting in Vietnam.  China, backed by the world’s third strongest military, claims about 90% of the South China Sea, prized for fish, energy and shipping lanes. China cites historical records to support its drilling, surveillance and island construction within the nine-dash line.   Vietnam and China are both looking for fossil fuel reserves under the seabed. China withdrew its vessels in October last year after four months of patrol near a gas-and-oil tract 352 kilometers southeast of Vietnam. Other oil explorers should take note of China’s survey vessel movement, suggested Euan Graham, senior fellow with the Singapore-based International Institute for Strategic Studies. Brunei, Malaysia and the Philippines actively seek undersea fuel, sometimes contracting projects to foreign drillers.   “I think it’s a part of an underlying strategy, which is to intimidate and harass all Southeast Asian exploration activity within the nine-dash line and to a point where it becomes economically unviable for foreign companies and even local companies to exploit, aware that China is going to make life that difficult with them,” Graham said. China may hope to nudge other claimants toward joint energy exploration, he added. Drilling contractors expect Vietnam to provide security during any projects, Koh said. They could ask Vietnam for a higher contract fee if they fear harassment, said Nguyen Thanh Trung, director of the Center for International Studies director at University of Social Sciences and Humanities in Ho Chi Minh City.  Vietnam had no rigs at an exploration tract along the Chinese boat’s reported mid-June route, Nguyen added. The country hopes to stay low-key for now as the ruling Communist Party prepares for its 2021 national congress, he said. An upset at sea would derail the event agenda. “Vietnam is making a compromise that it doesn’t want to confront China for the time being,” Nguyen said. “In the next year, the Vietnamese Communist Party congress will be convened, so anything that’s happening in the South China Sea may have a big impact, so that’s the reason why the Vietnamese government wants to put out the tension in the South China Sea.” 

your ad here

North Korea Says Millions of Leaflets Readied Against South

North Korea said on Monday it has readied thousands of balloons and millions of leaflets in preparation for “retaliatory punishment” against South Korea.
 
The detail, in a state media report, came a day after the North said it was preparing to begin an anti-South leaflet campaign following a series of vitriolic condemnations of Seoul because of anti-North leaflets floated over the border.
 
Defectors in the South send such leaflets, which criticize the North’s leader Kim Jong Un over human rights abuses and his nuclear ambitions. The messages are usually attached to balloons or floated in bottles.
 
Analysts have said North Korea has been conducting a series of staged provocations aimed at forcing concessions from Seoul and Washington.
 
“The preparations for the largest-ever distribution of leaflets against the enemy are almost complete,” a report by the Korean Central News Agency said.
 
“Publishing and printing institutions at all levels in the capital city have turned out 12 million leaflets of all kinds reflective of the wrath and hatred of the people from all walks of life,” it said.
 
More than “3,000 balloons of various types capable of scattering leaflets deep inside south Korea, have been prepared,” along with other means of distribution, KCNA added.
 
Inter-Korean relations have been frozen for months, following the collapse of a summit in Hanoi between Kim and US President Donald Trump early last year.
 
That meeting foundered on what the North would be willing to give up in exchange for a loosening of sanctions.
 
The nuclear-armed and impoverished North is subject to multiple United Nations Security Council sanctions over its banned weapons programs.
 
The South’s President Moon Jae-in initially brokered a dialogue between Pyongyang and Washington, but the North now blames him for not persuading the United States to relax sanctions.  
 
“South Korea has to face the music. Only when it experiences how painful and how irritating it is to dispose of leaflets and waste, it will shake off its bad habit,” KCNA said.
 
“The time for retaliatory punishment is drawing near.”  
 
As part of what analysts saw as staged provocations, the North last Tuesday blew up an inter-Korean liaison office on its side of the border, triggering broad international condemnation.
 
It has also threatened to bolster its military presence in and around the Demilitarized Zone.  
 
The North’s actions appear to be carefully calibrated, with Pyongyang drawing out the process by issuing multiple incremental warnings from different official sources — leadership, government departments and the military — ahead of each step it takes.
 
The North’s two consecutive days of comment about its leaflet campaign came after Kim Yeon-chul, South Korea’s point man for relations with the North, resigned over the heightened tensions. He expressed hope that his departure “will be a chance to pause for a bit”.
 
Photos carried by the official Rodong Sinmun newspaper on Saturday showed North Koreans preparing the leaflets.
 
Seoul’s unification ministry urged Pyongyang to withdraw the plan “immediately”, calling it “very regrettable”.
 
South Korea has also warned of a “thorough crackdown” against activists sending anti-North leaflets. It filed a police complaint against two defector groups over the messages that have offended Pyongyang.
 
The two Koreas remain technically at war after Korean War hostilities ended with an armistice in 1953 that was never replaced by a peace treaty. 

your ad here

Trump Says He Held Off Xinjiang Sanctions Due to Trade Talks – Axios Interview

President Donald Trump held off on imposing tougher sanctions on Chinese officials blamed for a crackdown on China’s Uighur Muslim minority because of concern such measures would have interfered with trade negotiations with Beijing, he said in an interview published on Sunday.
 
“Well, we were in the middle of a major trade deal. And I made a great deal, $250 billion potentially worth of purchases,” Trump was quoted as telling Axios Friday when asked why he had not enacted Treasury sanctions against Communist Party officials linked to repression in the Xinjiang region.
 
The United Nations estimates that more than a million Muslims have been detained in camps there. The State Department has accused China of subjecting Muslims to torture and abuse.
 
China has denied mistreatment and says the camps provide vocational training and help fight extremism.
 
U.S. officials previously told Reuters that since late 2018 they had weighed sanctions against Chinese officials over Xinjiang but refrained because of trade and diplomatic considerations.
 
Under a Phase 1 trade deal negotiated in 2019 that took effect in February, China agreed to buy at least $200 billion in additional U.S. goods and services over two years.
Former national security adviser John Bolton alleges in a new book that Trump sought Chinese President Xi Jinping’s help to win reelection during a 2019 meeting by making agricultural purchases, and Trump also encouraged Xi to go ahead with building camps in Xinjiang. Trump has denied the accusations. The United States since last year has placed import restrictions on some Chinese companies and visa bans on unnamed Chinese officials linked to Xinjiang but has not imposed harsher Treasury sanctions.
 
Trump signed legislation last Wednesday calling for sanctions over Xinjiang, drawing threats of retaliation from China. He insisted, however, he had discretion to decide any application of the measures.  
 
Elsewhere in the interview, Trump said he would consider meeting Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and also suggested he has had second thoughts about his decision to recognize opposition leader Juan Guaido as the country’s legitimate leader.
 
“I would maybe think about that. … Maduro would like to meet. And I’m never opposed to meetings,” Trump told online news site Axios on Friday, a move that would upend his “maximum pressure” campaign aimed at ousting the Socialist president. He added, however, “but at this moment, I’ve turned them down.” 

your ad here