Cambodian-Canadian Actress Ellen Wong Plays Child of Refugee in Film

Ellen Wong is a Cambodian-Canadian actress well known in Hollywood. But as VOA’s Chetra Chap reports, her latest role hits very close to home.
Camera: Chetra Chap

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US Sanctions Two Russia-based Entities Over North Korean Forced Labor

The U.S. Department of the Treasury slapped sanctions on two companies operating out of Russia on Thursday for their alleged involvement in the exploitation of forced labor from North Korea.  According to a statement by the Treasury Department, sanctions will be imposed on Mokran LLC, a Russian construction company, and Korea Cholsan General Trading Corp., a North Korean company operating in Russia.  The move follows a 2017 U.N. Security Council resolution that required all countries to send home North Korean workers by December 22, 2019, as a means of curbing the generation of foreign currency to support North Korea’s nuclear and ballistic missile programs.  According to the U.N. resolution, sanctions must be imposed on those that engage in, facilitate or are responsible for the exportation of forced labor from North Korea to generate revenue for the government of North Korea or the Workers’ Party of Korea.  FILE – U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin.”North Korea has a long history of exploiting its citizens by sending them to distant countries to work in grueling conditions in order to financially support Pyongyang and its weapons programs,” said U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin. “Those countries still hosting North Korean workers must send these workers home.” Today’s sanctions will force all property and interests in property of Mokran LLC and the Korea Cholsan General Trading Corp. that are in the United States or in the possession or control of any U.S. citizens to be blocked and reported to the Office of Foreign Assets Control.  According to Reuters, the United States has estimated that Pyongyang was earning more than $500 million a year from its 100,000 residents working abroad, the majority of whom were stationed in China and Russia.  

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Thai PM Threatens to Use All Legal Avenues Against Pro-Democracy Protesters

Thai Prime Minister Prayuth Chan-ocha promised on Thursday to pursue all legal avenues against pro-democracy protestors who are demanding his resignation and changes to the constitution, including limiting the powers of King Maha Vajiralongkorn.
 
Protestors expressed concern that Prayuth’s threat could result in the resumption of prosecutions under some of the world’s harshest laws barring insults of the royal family.  
 
“Prayuth has declared a battle against the people,” said protest leader and rights attorney Arnon Nampa.
 
Prayuth’s warning came as demonstrations for reforms have escalated.  
 
Protests on Wednesday were the most violent since July, as thousands of protestors hurled paint at police headquarters in Bangkok in response to police firing water cannons and tear gas at protestors the previous day, injuring dozens of them. Some protestors painted graffiti against the monarchy.
 
“The situation is not improving,” Prayuth said in a statement. “There is risk of escalation to more violence. If not addressed, it could damage the country and the beloved monarchy.”
 
Prayuth did not say if he would enforce Article 112 of the country’s criminal code, which prohibits citizens from insulting the monarchy.
 
But some royalists responded to the anti-monarchy graffiti by calling for the application of Article 112 against protestors on social media.
 
Protest leaders have been among the dozens of activists who have been arrested on a variety of charges in recent months, but not for criticizing the monarchy. 

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After US Sanctions, Malaysia Migrant Workers Get Millions in Restitution from Glove Makers

Malaysian rubber glove makers have started paying back thousands of migrant workers for recruitment fees totaling tens of millions of dollars since the U.S. stopped importing from some of them late last year over forced labor claims.Malaysia supplies nearly 2 in every 3 pairs of disposable rubber gloves used worldwide and has seen demand for the personal protective equipment soar amid the coronavirus pandemic. Most of the factories rely on an army of migrant workers, many of whom pay recruiters hundreds or thousands of dollars for the jobs and take on crippling loans to do so.Labor advocates call it debt bondage, a prime example of modern-day slavery that can shackle workers to abusive employers for years while they pay off their debts.In September 2019, U.S. Customs and Border Protection issued a “withhold release order” against Malaysia’s WRP Asia Pacific over evidence of forced labor at its factories, blocking imports of its gloves into the U.S. The agency issued a similar order in July against two subsidiaries of Malaysia’s Top Glove, the world’s largest rubber glove maker.The U.S. Customs order against Top Glove cited debt bondage specifically.Since the orders, both companies have launched efforts to reimburse their migrant workers for the recruitment fees they paid to land their jobs. Top Glove says it has been covering the full recruitment costs of new hires since January 2019. Since the U.S. started blocking its shipments, though, it has begun reimbursing migrant workers hired before 2019.In recent months, at least three more of Malaysia’s leading glove makers not facing U.S. sanctions — Hartalega, Kossan and YTY — have announced similarly sweeping payback schemes of their own.The Malaysian Rubber Glove Manufactures Association, which represents the sector, said the companies have committed at least $61 million to the effort in all to address the U.S. forced labor claims. It did not say how many workers are due to be paid back, but Top Glove said in an August statement that it alone will be reimbursing more than 9,000.Hartalega, Top Glove, YTY and the association all turned down VOA’s requests for interviews. Kossan and WRP have not replied.Fear factorLabor rights advocates say the U.S. sanctions, and even just the fear of them, are helping push the glove makers to address one of the leading labor abuses plaguing the industry.”These companies are doing it out of fear from sanctions,” said Adrian Pereira, executive director of the North South Initiative, a local nongovernment group and a member of the Migrant Workers Right to Redress Coalition.Having investigated labor abuses in the glove sector and others for many years, he added, “I personally don’t think that these companies are doing it out of genuine care and concern for the migrant workers.”Andy Hall, another labor rights advocate, said the U.S. sanctions are “translating into real impact and real money into workers’ pockets in remediation and remedy, which is really important.”One Top Glove worker, from Bangladesh, told VOA that his first monthly installment from the company’s repayment program showed up on his August pay slip, sliding straight into his bank account. He said all Top Glove workers from Bangladesh have been promised 12 monthly installments totaling about $4,900, roughly what most of them paid recruiters to find them work in Malaysia.The glove companies have shared few details about their reimbursement plans, but the payment pledges seem to match the average recruitment fees migrant workers from each country have paid, although some may have paid more or less. The Top Glove employee said coworkers from Nepal have been promised about $1,200, roughly what most of them claim to have paid recruiters themselves.”Everyone [is] really happy getting this money,” said the worker, an electrician, who spoke on condition of anonymity for fear of reprisal from the company for speaking to the media without permission.Coming from Bangladesh, he said he poured all his savings into covering half the recruitment fee up front. He borrowed the rest and spent his first two years at Top Glove paying the loan off.With the money now pouring back, he plans to spend it on a new, two-story house he and his brother are building back home for them and their parents.”I feel really great about this. You know I [was] shocked when I heard that TG would pay us back,” he said.Real reformLabor rights groups, though, say it’s tough to judge just how much impact the U.S. import bans are having without more details on how and why the sanctions are being applied and lifted. U.S. Customs and Border Protection won’t reveal the evidence of forced labor it uses to sanction companies. When the agency lifted the import ban on WRP in March, it said the company had cleaned up its labor practices but refused to provide specifics.The U.S. law that makes the sanctions possible “really does have the potential to be one of the strongest pieces of law that can punish corporations or discourage them from profiting from forced labor in their supply chains,” said Esmeralda Lopez, legal and policy director for the International Labor Rights Forum, based in Washington.”But in terms of their effectiveness, we think that without increased transparency as to CBP’s enforcement and how that’s being done and how many times they are in fact stopping imports and … the amount, the number, the financial impact, it’s really difficult to assess,” she added.Asked about the critique, the agency told VOA it was barred by law from disclosing confidential business information and any other details that were “law enforcement sensitive” or could compromise current investigations.Advocates also say that targeted U.S. import bans are far from enough to comprehensively address debt bondage in Malaysia, which may be hosting more than 3 million migrant workers, according to the World Bank, many of them undocumented. Each withhold release order can take a year or more of investigation and, by their nature, can only be applied to companies that export to the U.S.Pereira said debt bondage remains rife in other sectors besides glove making that also lean heavily on migrant workers, including garments and agriculture, and will only be rooted out among companies and recruiters with a degree of government oversight and enforcement that he believes is still lacking.He said private-sector payback programs by companies facing or fearing U.S. sanctions were a help, but no substitute for thorough government-led reform.”It’s good,” Pereira said, “but it’s not a replacement.”The Malaysian Human Resources Ministry and its Labor Department did not reply to multiple requests for an interview.

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Australian Soldiers Accused of War Crimes in Afghanistan

A four-year inquiry into Australian special forces in Afghanistan has found “credible evidence” of the “murder” of 39 prisoners, farmers or other civilians. Australian Defense Force Chief Angus Campbell released the final report Thursday.Nineteen Australian soldiers are suspected of executing 39 Afghan prisoners and civilians between 2005 and 2016. The war crimes report found junior soldiers were encouraged to shoot prisoners to get their first kill. Army commanders were condemned for allowing “criminal behavior” to be “conceived, committed … and concealed.”The inquiry was conducted by the inspector general of the Australian Defense Force. Over four years, it examined 57 incidents of alleged misconduct and heard from hundreds of witnesses. It found that none of the alleged crimes could be discounted as “disputable decisions made under pressure in the heat of battle.”Australian Defense Force chief Angus Campbell said the report has uncovered a “shameful record” of a “warrior culture” by some troops.“Today the Australian Defense Force is rightly held to account for allegations of grave misconduct by some members of our special forces community on operations in Afghanistan,” he said. “To the people of Afghanistan on behalf of the Australian Defense Force, I sincerely and unreservedly apologize for any wrongdoing by Australian soldiers, and to the people of Australia I am sincerely sorry for any wrongdoing by members of the Australian Defense Force.”The war crimes report published Thursday is heavily redacted. The full classified document will remain secret. Its allegations will be investigated by Australian police and federal prosecutors.Prime minister Scott Morrison has said previously that Australia had to confront “brutal” truths about the actions of some of its soldiers.

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Australian Military Alleges Special Forces Committed War Crimes in Afghanistan

An internal inquiry is alleging that Australian special forces unlawfully killed more than three dozen unarmed civilians and prisoners in Afghanistan over an 11-year period.General Angus Campbell, chief of the Australian Defense Force, revealed the results of a four-year special investigation during a press conference in Canberra on Thursday.Campbell said there was credible evidence that 25 special forces personnel took part in the deaths of 39 Afghans between 2005 and 2016, all of which happened outside “the heat of battle.”The report included allegations that forces engaged in a practice called “blooding,” in which senior officers would coerce rookie members to shoot a prisoner in order to achieve the soldier’s first kill. The junior soldiers would then stage a firefight to justify their actions.Campbell said the crimes evolved out of a “self-centered warrior culture” that resulted in rules being broken, “stories concocted, lies told and prisoners killed.”The report recommended that 19 current and former soldiers be referred to Australian Federal Police for criminal investigation, and that the government offer compensation to the families of the victims. Campbell also said those accused in the killings would be referred to a special investigator for war crimes.The inquiry was prompted by a 2017 report aired by the Australian Broadcasting Corporation that Australian troops had committed war crimes in Afghanistan, where they were deployed to support the 2001 U.S.-led invasion in the aftermath of the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks on New York and Washington.Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison warned the nation last week to prepare for some difficult revelations to come out of the investigation.

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White House Mum on Trump Meeting With Indonesian Minister

President Donald Trump met with Indonesian Coordinating Minister for Maritime Affairs and Investment Luhut Binsar Pandjaitan on Tuesday, a meeting that the White House did not include on the president’s public schedule and did not provide comments on.White House advisers Ivanka Trump and Jared Kushner, along with Adam Boehler, chief executive officer of the U.S. International Development Finance Corp. (DFC), were also present, according to a readout and photographs of the meeting provided by the Indonesian government.“On behalf of President Joko Widodo, I expressed gratitude and appreciation to President Donald Trump,” said Pandjaitan, who is often referred to as Indonesia’s “Minister of Everything” because of his extensive portfolio and political clout. “Whatever the official result of the U.S. election, friendship must be maintained. We will always be friends. I hope that this good communication with the White House can also be fostered after January 2021.”Pandjaitan said he and Trump discussed “increased economic cooperation” between the two countries, especially after Washington extended Indonesia’s Generalized System of Preferences, a preferential trade status, earlier this month. On Wednesday, Indonesia signed a $750 million infrastructure financing memorandum of understanding with the U.S. government’s Export-Import Bank.Vaccine productionIn separate events, Pandjaitan met with Vice President Mike Pence, who, according to the Indonesian government, offered “joint cooperation in vaccine production between American and Indonesian companies,” and with national security adviser Robert O’ Brien to discuss a “strategic partnership” in defense and technology.The White House declined to provide comment on VOA’s query about the meeting. It remains unclear what has been offered in terms of vaccine production cooperation.Last month Pandjaitan led a delegation to Yunnan, China, to sign deals with Sinovac Biotech Ltd., Cansino and Sinopharm, Chinese pharmaceutical companies conducting late-stage vaccine trials in several countries, including Indonesia.With the highest number of coronavirus infections and deaths in Southeast Asia, Indonesia aims to start a mass vaccination campaign by the end of 2020 using mostly Chinese vaccines. Jakarta said it would procure 18 million doses of Chinese vaccine by the end of the year.Two American companies, Pfizer and Moderna, have recently reported that their coronavirus vaccines are more than 90% effective and have no serious side effects.Indonesian sovereign wealth fundPandjaitan is in the U.S. to pitch Indonesia’s soon-to-be-established sovereign wealth fund aimed at financing infrastructure projects across the archipelago. The fund seeks to attract up to $15 billion in investments to stimulate economic growth following models adopted by other developing countries. He is also promoting the fund in meetings with the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund in Washington this week.This PM, I was happy to meet again with Indonesian Coordinating Minister for Maritime Affairs & Investment Luhut Binsar Pandjaitan.We covered several topics, including #COVID19 vaccines & Indonesia’s good progress on addressing marine plastics + barrier reef preservation. [1/2] pic.twitter.com/CBSEroWRqA— David Malpass (@DavidMalpassWBG) November 16, 2020The unannounced meeting drew scrutiny from Asia analysts, especially because it comes at a time when Trump has had few publicly announced meetings as he and his presidential campaign pursue lawsuits alleging ballot fraud in the 2020 vote.“It is pretty extraordinary that at a time when the U.S. president is receiving few visitors that Luhut Pandjaitan would be received in the Oval Office,” said Aaron Connelly, a research fellow on Southeast Asian foreign policy at the International Institute for Strategic Studies.DFC’s Boehler, a former college roommate of Kushner, met with Pandjaitan in Jakarta last month to further discuss investment opportunities in the country’s sovereign wealth fund, following an initial meeting in January with Widodo.“The new U.S. International Development Finance Corporation will play a critical role in supporting Indonesia, particularly by developing quality infrastructure that establishes a strong foundation for the country’s next stage of growth,” Boehler said after the January meeting. The DFC partners with the U.S. private sector to finance development projects in lower- and middle-income countries and has been billed as an alternative to China’s Belt and Road Initiative development financing mechanism.However, even if DFC eventually gives its seal of approval, it is unclear whether American investors would have confidence in a sovereign wealth fund launched by a government besieged by high levels of corruption and debt burden.Investment opportunitiesAlexander Feldman, chairman, president and CEO of the US-ASEAN Business Council, said that, in principle, he supports investment opportunities in Indonesia’s sovereign wealth fund but that “details do matter.”“I have not seen the structure of how the wealth fund is going to ensure that the money is used in ways it’s intended,” Feldman said.Indonesia scored 40 points out of 100 on the 2019 Corruption Perceptions Index, which ranks countries based on how corrupt their public sector is perceived on a scale of 0 (highly corrupt) to 100 (very clean).Considering that the country does not have large capital reserves and has a reputation for mismanagement of resources, “the primary motivation for investing in this new sovereign wealth fund would be political as opposed to financial,” Connelly said.Trump maintains personal business interests in Indonesia through his family enterprise.In August 2019, while promoting Trump-branded properties in Bali and West Java, Donald Trump Jr. was dogged by allegations that the Trump Organization’s global business empire creates conflicts of interest for his father’s administration.Neither the Indonesian government nor the Biden-Harris transition team has confirmed whether they met during the Indonesian delegation’s U.S. visit this week.

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Internal Woes Thwarting China’s Global Ambitions, Reports Say

The U.S. State Department and American lawmakers in the Senate are outlining the risks and opportunities in Washington’s relationship with China in two new reports.At the State Department, a report published Tuesday and described as a blueprint for the U.S. response to China’s rise as an authoritarian superpower, says Beijing’s Communist Party is facing internal vulnerabilities, frustrating its growing global ambitions.”China under the CCP is marked by a variety of vulnerabilities. These begin with the disadvantages endemic to autocracy: constraints on innovation, difficulties forming and maintaining alliances, and costs arising from internal repression,” the State Department’s Office of Policy Planning wrote in the report, titled, FILE – Medical staff treat COVID-19 coronavirus patients at a hospital in Wuhan, in China’s central Hubei province, March 19, 2020.Beijing has consistently rejected such criticism, insisting it has been a model global partner in trying to curb the coronavirus pandemic. China has offered foreign countries access to vaccines under development and dispatched medical teams during the early part of the pandemic to advise how to combat the virus.  But that has done little to improve Beijing’s image among Western analysts, some of whom fear a nightmare scenario where Chinese leaders will respond to domestic pressures by devoting more attention to aggressive foreign policies.In recent years, one of the CCP’s biggest fears has been so-called “Western spiritual pollution,” referring to the Western ideas of liberty, rule of law, and governance that are features of democratic governments.“Xi Jinping is cracking down on that sort of teaching in the education system, even in the business system, because it terribly fears the influence of Western ideas,” said Dan Blumenthal, director of Asian Studies at the American Enterprise Institute, a research group based in Washington.“Mishandling of COVID-19 is causing an international backlash against him, but Xi doesn’t back down from this pressure. In fact, he escalates,” Blumenthal added.For example, Blumenthal said during the same year that China and other countries have struggled with the health and economic impacts of COVID-19, the Chinese Communist Party got into a border skirmish with India, increased political tensions in Australia, pressured Europeans to remove any language about Chinese disinformation campaigns around COVID-19, further clamped down on Hong Kong’s more open political culture, and continued its aggressive policies in the South China Sea and mass incarceration of Uighurs in Xinjiang.FILE – Watchtowers are seen on a high-security facility near what is believed to be a re-education camp where mostly Muslim ethnic minorities are detained, on the outskirts of Hotan, in China’s northwestern Xinjiang region, May 30, 2019.China insists that all of these policies are either internal matters that foreign governments misrepresent, or as in the case of Europe and Australia, are Beijing having legitimate policy disagreements with one of its trading partners.But Blumenthal says Beijing’s actions abroad also have a goal of shaping domestic opinion, and that could lead to dire consequences.“So the nightmare scenario is as Xi gets more frustrated, he will try to compensate with more external aggression. And that’s what we have been seeing,” said Blumenthal during a webinar on Tuesday.The State Department’s paper outlines 10 tasks for the United States to focus on in its China relationship, including strengthening its alliance system and creating new international organizations to promote democracy and human rights; cooperating with China when possible and constraining it when appropriate; as well as training a new generation of public servants who understand great-power competition with China.U.S. officials have said Washington wants a results-oriented and constructive bilateral relationship based on fairness and reciprocity.“We are ready to work with China as long as China is willing to take concrete actions to address these challenges in mutually beneficial ways,” a spokesperson told VOA.Collaboration with Europe?The Senate Foreign Relations Committee also released a report Wednesday, calling for greater collaboration between the United States and Europe on the challenges posed by China.”China has become a true systemic rival to shared American and European interests. Both sides of the Atlantic increasingly recognize this reality,” Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman James Risch said in an event Wednesday introducing the report.”We have to turn this agreement into action. Neither the United States, nor Europe will be able to combat these threats alone. Those who suggest that possibility are simply wrong. China is simply too large and too well-equipped,” he said.Among its recommendations, the report suggests the new Biden administration provide an opportunity for the U.S. to rejoin international organizations and prevent China from filling the void left by the lack of U.S. international participation. 

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In Bid to Rely Less on US, China Firms Stockpile Taiwan Tech Hardware

Regional analysts say Taiwan’s recent surge in exports despite a global economic downturn is most likely due to an increase in orders from Chinese tech firms that hope to depend less on the United States in the wake of trade and regulatory disputes.Chinese technology hardware firms are stockpiling semiconductors made in Taiwan because Taiwanese factories produce some of the world’s most advanced chips, as shown by a 6% jump in exports from July through September, the analysts believe. China has separately announced plans to become a tech powerhouse but hasn’t perfected chips for 5G technology.Taiwan and China are meanwhile locked in a political dispute. China claims sovereignty over the island, which rejects China’s design for unification and over the past four years has pushed companies to rely less on the Chinese market. The two sides have been self-ruled since the 1940s.“They know they’re not yet able to produce at least the highest-end semiconductors needed for 5G, so Taiwan has a huge role to play because that’s what they do the best, and I don’t think they’re going to give up on that for whatever political, geopolitical reasons,” said Alicia Garcia Herrero, chief Asia-Pacific economist with the French investment bank Natixis. “It’s just too juicy.”  Tech hardware is Taiwan’s top China-bound export, while information and communication technology gear make up half of Taiwan’s total exports.Over the third quarter, $27.2 billion of Taiwan’s $90 billion in exports went to China, Bureau of Foreign Trade data show, and Chinese importers bought more than one-third of the $32.9 billion in exports from the category that covers semiconductors.September export data alone reflected “rush shipments” from Taiwan to the giant Chinese telecom firm Huawei Technologies and China’s biggest chip factory Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp., Taiwan government-backed Central News Agency says. The new Huawei Mate 40 Pro smartphone is held for a photo, in London, Wednesday Oct. 21, 2020.Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., or TSMC, is the world’s largest contract chipmaker with some of its most advanced technology. In the third quarter this year, 22% of TSMC’s net revenues came from China, up from 21% in the previous quarter and 20% in the July-September period of 2019, a company publicist said. Exports pushed Taiwan’s GDP growth in the most recent quarter up 3.3% year-on-year, and the government forecasts a 1.56% GDP increase this year. Both figures would contrast sharply to the International Monetary Fund forecast of a 4.9% global economic fall this year, led by some of the world’s biggest economies.Third-quarter data in Taiwan tracked a tightening of U.S. restrictions on Huawei, which President Donald Trump’s government considers a national security threat. Those orders came amid a nearly 3-year-old Sino-U.S. trade dispute and before the U.S. presidential election, all spelling uncertainty for China.“A lot of these goods are being sold in China because China is actually stockpiling inventory, and the reason for stockpiling is the recent state of Sino-U.S. relations — not just Huawei, but there are a lot of uncertainties for the whole industry,” said Brady Wang, an analyst in Taipei with the market intelligence firm Counterpoint Research.Chinese firms still traditionally look to Silicon Valley for upstream technology.In a statement Tuesday on the sale of a smartphone unit, Huawei said its consumer product lines had been “under tremendous pressure as of late” because of “a persistent unavailability of technical elements needed for our mobile phone business.”Chinese tech firms are trying anyway to depend less on foreign supplies and ideas, a trend that analysts describe as self-reliance. Growth in local talent and “constant advances” in research ability show China is already an “influential innovation power in the world”, domestic news website Chinanews.com reported in October 2019. The report cites “accelerated leapfrogging” since 2011 and says China is “moving from an important technological country in the world to a world tech powerhouse.”China eventually hopes that it can make everything it needs domestically, Wang said. But he said it will depend on foreign ideas and supplies for a while. “in the process they’re clear they can’t go to the United States for that,” Wang said.“Self-reliance from China doesn’t mean full self-reliance because they’re not yet ready and I think that’s going to boost in a way that semiconductor industry even further in Taiwan,” Garcia said.U.S. President Donald Trump’s curbs against Chinese tech, with no signs of abating under President-elect Joe Biden, raised the urgency for China to rely more on itself, said Song Seng Wun, an economist in the private banking unit of Malaysian bank CIMB. “I suppose it’s a wake-up call because of four years of the Trump Administration and that it doesn’t look like even if there’s a change of administration that the policy will be changed significantly,” Song said.China accelerated Taiwan’s export growth in another way over the first nine months of the year: Exports received by American firms grew by 7% year on year as the importers “shifted from China to alternative suppliers to avoid U.S. tariffs,” London-based forecasting and consulting firm Capital Economics said in an October 30 research note.Taiwan owes another part of its boom to the quick control of COVID-19, meaning no shutdowns in early 2020. China bounced back in March from the worst of its outbreak and production has hummed along normally since then.

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Asian Markets Mostly Higher as Euphoria Over Potential COVID-19 Vaccine Cools  

Asian markets are mostly higher Wednesday as worries about the growing number of coronavirus infections in the United States and Europe has tempered optimism about a potentially safe and effective COVID-19 vaccine. The S&P/ASX index in Australia finished 0.5% higher.  The Shanghai Composite index and South Korea’s benchmark KOSPI index both finished up 0.2%, while the TSEC index in Taiwan gained 1.3%   Japan’s benchmark Nikkei index lost 1.1%.  In late afternoon trading, the Hang Seng index in Hong Kong is 0.4% higher, and Mumbai’s Sensex is up 0.3%. In commodities trading, gold is down 0.2%, selling at $1,880.00 per ounce.  U.S. crude oil is selling at $41.56 per barrel, up 0.3%, and Brent crude is selling at $44.00 per barrel, up 0.5%.   In futures trading, all three major U.S. indices are trending negatively. 

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China Condemns Historic Australia-Japan Defense Pact

Australia and Japan have agreed on a historic defense pact that would allow both countries to strengthen military ties in the face of rising tensions with China. This is Japan’s first agreement covering the presence of foreign military forces on its soil since a deal in 1960 that permitted the United States to base troops, aircraft and warships in Japan.   The pact allows Japanese and Australian personnel to visit each other’s countries to carry out training and joint operations. Officials have spent six years negotiating the accord. Australian officials said it was a “pivotal moment in the history of Japan-Australia ties.” The in-principal agreement has been made between Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga and his Australian counterpart, Scott Morrison, who has flown to Tokyo. The pact needs to be approved by the Japanese parliament.Australian PM Morrison visits Japan, meets with counterpart Suga, Nov. 17, 2020.Morrison, who is the first world leader to be hosted by Mr. Suga since he became Japan’s new leader in September, says bilateral ties are crucial.  “Japan has a very special relationship with Australia.  It is not just an economic one, it is not just a trade one, it is not just a cultural and social one.  Importantly, it is a strategic one. We play a very important role together in working in the Southwest Pacific together,” Morrison said. Analysts have said that China’s increased assertiveness, including territorial disputes in the South China Sea and the treatment of pro-democracy campaigners in Hong Kong, would dominate private talks between the Australian and Japanese leaders.   Chinese state media has criticized the Australia-Japan accord, insisting it “clearly targets China” and “further accelerates the confrontational atmosphere in the Asia-Pacific region.”   Canberra’s relations with Beijing have deteriorated after allegations of Chinese interference in Australia’s domestic politics and calls for a global investigation into the source of the coronavirus, which was first identified in China almost a year ago.   A damaging consequence is the sanctions imposed by China on a growing list of Australian imports, including wine, barley and other agricultural products. China is Australia’s biggest trading partner, while Japan is its second. 

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China Pushes Xi Jinping Thought as Part of College Education 

As Chinese leader Xi Jinping continues to consolidate power, the Chinese Communist Party is working to include more of his writings and opinions as a mandatory part of country’s university curriculum.   Beginning in the fall 2020 semester, 37 key colleges and universities across the country offered a course, “An Overview of Socialist Thought with Chinese Characteristics in Xi Jinping’s New Era,” according to the CCP’s theoretical journal, Seeking Truth. These institutions include top universities such as Peking University and Tsinghua University.      Smaller universities across China have since echoed the call. A local news website reported on November 10 that Yantai Vocational College in Shandong province has built three teams for adding the readings to its curriculum (teaching Xi’s theory).   In many cases, the new content, commonly called “Xi Jinping Thought,” are being added to courses that already study his writings on “the four self-confidences” that he proposed in 2016. They outline core beliefs in Xi’s socialist theory, social system, culture and road, which refers to “socialist road with Chinese characteristics.”  For decades, China’s Communist Party emphasized collective leadership as power changed hands from one chosen Communist Party leader to the next. Xi has changed this approach since becoming China’s paramount leader in 2012, concentrating power and encouraging a personality cult around himself by inserting his political writings into Communist Party and government constitutions. The government even released a smartphone app teaching “Xi Jinping Thought” that it claims is one of the most popular in China.  Along with the focus on more ideological education, western news organizations are reporting that internal documents from Chinese universities show there are new efforts to track public opinion on university campuses.      In one set of documents, the Heilongjiang Institute of Architecture and Vocational Technology summarized “eight risks” for political education in universities. These eight risks include foreign non-governmental organizations stepping up contacts with students, foreign “hostile elements” promoting “street politics” activities, as well as what it called weaknesses in students’ ideology and difficulties in controlling the content of teachers’ training outside the school.     Qin Weiping, a political analyst, told VOA that taken together, these measures show how the Communist Party lacks self-confidence, and students and teachers on these campuses are not firm believers of the Communist Party’s doctrines.   “In a sense, if the CCP is really confident, it won’t spread the four confidences in the form of documents and movements across the country,” Qin said. “It reflects the deep insecurity, the urgent crisis of governance within the ruling party’s high-level ruling group. There is also doubt within the party and in society about the party’s policies and the future direction of the country.”Undergraduate students and university staff wearing face masks attend a graduation ceremony in Tsinghua University, following the outbreak of the coronavirus disease, in Beijing, China, June 23, 2020.New curriculum for liberal arts degrees      Another new Communist Party initiative at Chinese universities is aimed at modifying the current liberal arts curriculum to spread more “Xi Jinping Thought” and to “improve students’ ideological awareness and moral standards.”   On November 3, the Ministry of Education issued a Declaration on the Construction of New Liberal Arts. The declaration proposed creating a new approach for teaching philosophy and social sciences that it argues would enhance the country’s cultural soft power. This includes incorporating more of Xi’s writings and ideology into the liberal arts curriculum.   In recent years, Chinese Communist Party officials have emphasized removing “western values” from Chinese curriculum, without explicitly defining which foreign writers or ideas are objectionable.  In China’s universities, this has led some school administrators to say that some entire departments need to be restructured.    According to Chinese media reports, Xu Xianming, an official at the Ministry of Education, stressed that “liberal arts should be shifted to be under the leadership of the Chinese discourse system and out from under the leadership of the western discourse system. China’s new liberal arts doesn’t exist if the shift is not completed.”    Jia Huixuan, a retired liberal arts professor at Peking University, disagrees with this guidance.      “We at Peking University have always advocated inclusiveness and science and academic freedom,” Jia said. “Trying to put restrictions on academic activities is not wise.”      Others are more critical of the proposed changes.   “Strengthening liberal arts education may be a kind of political propaganda because the Communist Party of China’s liberal arts has been used by the regime … to strengthen the loyalty of the king’s (leadership’s) thought,” Qin said.      Adrianna Zhang contributed to this report.

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Taiwan Grounds F-16s After Second Fighter Accident in Less Than a Month

Taiwan’s air force has grounded its F-16 fleet after losing a plane on a training mission, President Tsai Ing-wen said on Wednesday, the second loss of a fighter jet in less than a month at a time of increased missions to intercept Chinese aircraft. While Taiwan’s air force is well trained and well equipped, mostly with U.S.-made equipment, it is dwarfed by China’s. Beijing claims the democratic island as its own and has never renounced the use of force to bring it under Chinese control.Last month, Taiwan’s defense minister said nearly $900 million had been spent this year on scrambling the air force against Chinese incursions, describing the pressure they are facing as “great.” Late Tuesday, Taiwan’s air force said a U.S.-built F-16 vanished shortly after taking off from the Hualien air base on the east coast on a routine training mission. That followed the crash of an F-5 — a jet which first entered service in Taiwan in the 1970s — in late October. Speaking to reporters, Tsai said the air force had already grounded the F-16 fleet for checks.Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen, center left, poses for photos with airmen near a Taiwan Indigenous Defense Fighter jet displayed during a visit to the Penghu Magong military air base in outlying Penghu Island, Taiwan, Sept. 22, 2020.”I have asked the defense ministry not to relax a bit on defense and combat readiness to ensure national security,” she added. The defense ministry called on media not to speculate on what happened to the F-16, adding that missions needed to continue considering the ongoing threat from China.   “In response to the increasingly severe situation in the Taiwan Strait, the military has continued to strengthen combat readiness training to ensure national security,” it said. The loss of the F-16 is Taiwan’s fourth military crash this year. In January, Taiwan’s top military official was among eight people killed after a helicopter carrying them to visit soldiers crashed in a mountainous area near the capital Taipei. The United States last year approved an $8 billion sale of F-16 fighter jets to Taiwan, a deal that would take the island’s F-16 fleet to more than 200 jets, the largest in Asia. 

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Germany Accuses Russia, China of Stalling Over North Korea Fuel Sanctions

Germany accused Russia and China on Tuesday of preventing a United Nations Security Council committee from determining whether North Korea has breached a U.N. cap on refined petroleum imports by the isolated Asian state. The Security Council has ratcheted up sanctions on North Korea since 2006 in a bid to choke funding for Pyongyang’s nuclear and ballistic missile programs. In 2017, it imposed an annual cap of 500,000 barrels on refined petroleum imports. China and Russia are the only countries to have notified the Security Council’s North Korea sanctions committee of refined petroleum exports to Pyongyang, but they did so in tonnes instead of barrels, and the committee has been unable to agree on a conversion rate so it can determine when the cap was reached. “Despite numerous attempts — the issue has been on the agenda for no less than three years — to find an agreement on a conversion rate, Russia and China have been stalling the process,” German U.N. Ambassador Christoph Heusgen, chairman of the sanctions committee, told reporters. “While this shouldn’t be a complicated matter to solve, it has become clear that the two delegations are politicizing this topic,” Heusgen said after raising the issue behind closed doors in a formal Security Council meeting. The Russian and Chinese missions to the United Nations did not immediately respond to a request for comment. For the past three years, the United States and dozens of allies have accused North Korea of breaching the fuel cap through illicit imports and called for an immediate halt to all deliveries. However, Russia and China repeatedly prevented the sanctions committee from issuing such a statement. 

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Thai Police Fire Water Cannons and Tear Gas at Pro-Democracy Protestors  

Thai police used water cannons and tear gas Tuesday to push back pro-democacy protestors near the parliament compound in Bangkok. Demonstrators demanding changes to the Thailand’s constitution were pushed back by police as they tried to penetrate barriers on the perimeter of the compound. Police blasted hundreds of protestors with water cannons as they tried to cut through razor-wire barricades before firing tear gas at them. The Erawan Medical Center in Bankok said five people were hospitalized for teargas exposure and others were treated at the scene. FILE – Thailand’s Prime Minister Prayuth Chan-ocha, top, talks to Deputy Prime Minister Prawit Wongsuwan during the special session at the parliament in Bangkok, Thailand, Oct. 26, 2020.The student-led protestors are also calling for the removal of Prime Minister and former army chief Prayuth Chan-ocha, who led a 2014 coup against the elected government, and enacted reforms to limit the powers of King Maha Vajiralongkorn.Lawmakers were mulling proposals to amend the constitution during the unrest outside parliament. They are expected to vote on seven proposed constitutional amendments before the end of a two-day joint session of the House and Senate. Parliament is not expected to agree on specific changes. Instead, lawmakers are expected to create a constitution drafting committee to write a new charter. The protesters support a draft that would retract parts of the constitution, enacted in 2017 under military rule that ceded more powers to the Senate and other unelected branches of government. 

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Trade Deal Raises Questions About China’s Dominance

Several leaders from 15 Asia Pacific countries, who signed the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) on Sunday, have praised what is being regarded as the world’s biggest trade pact. RCEP members, which include 10 ASEAN members plus China, Japan, South Korea, Australia and New Zealand, represent 30% of world’s population and 28% of its economy. The purpose of the partnership is to reduce taxes on the trade in goods and remove nontariff barriers.  Japanese trade minister Hiroshi Kajiyama said the deal will create a set of “free and fair economic rules.” Chinese Premier Li Keqiang described the pact as “a ray of light and hope amid the clouds.”The RCEP is widely regarded as a China-backed alternative to the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP), which covers 11 countries around the Pacific, but not China. The agreement is a culmination of “eight years of negotiating with blood, sweat and tears,” Mohamed Azmin Ali, Malaysia’s international trade and industry minister, said.  Huge Asian Trade Pact Signed in Coup for China ASEAN members and five other Asian countries are included, but not USAfter years of deep suspicion that China would dominate the trade club, intense squabbling over trade rules, and India dropping out of the negotiations, in the end, the RCEP is a rather simple agreement focused on the trade of goods. But will the agreement enhance China’s global image at a time when Beijing is engaged in a trade war with the U.S.?  “The RCEP allows China to cast itself as a champion of globalization and multilateral cooperation. It also puts China in a better position to determine the rules governing regional trade,” said Gareth Leather, Senior Asia Economist, at Capital Economics. Beijing is relieved that the new pact does not commit members to a significant opening up of services, liberalization of government procurement, or rollback of industrial policy, demands imposed on CPTTP members, Leather suggested.The CPTPP replaced the U.S.-backed Trans-Pacific Partnership after the Trump administration walked out of it. Its members are Australia, Brunei, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore and Vietnam. The RCEP signing has raised questions about whether it would prompt the United States, under a President Joe Biden, to return to an international trade agreement like the CPTPP instead of remaining isolated.  “Given the massive challenges on the domestic front and preexisting concerns about the unequal benefits of free trade agreements, it’s not obvious Biden will choose to join the revised CPTPP,” Matt Ferchen, head of Global China Research at the Berlin based think tank, Merics, told VOA. “Yet the signing of RCEP will be a further spur to the U.S., and presumably to India, to not be left outside looking in at the largest trade agreements in the Indo-Pacific region,” he added. Though signed with much fanfare, the RCEP leaves many thorny issues unsolved. It does not deal with trade disputes among its member countries, such as China and Australia. It focuses on the exchange of goods but does not address trade in the services sector, which is growing faster worldwide than trade in goods. “It does not address such major trade barriers as IP protection and state subsidies,” said Lester Ross, a partner in an international law firm, WilmerHale.“It is also unclear whether RCEP will have any impact on coercive trade barriers imposed by a member state against another member state, like China’s recent restrictions on certain categories of goods from Australia,” he said.  Australia’s Trade Minister Simon Birmingham sees the RCEP as an opportunity to open the trade doors that China has shut. The deal puts the ball in China’s court to abide by not only the terms but the spirit of the new trade pact, he said. Australia hopes China will relax restrictions it has imposed on imports of certain Australian goods.Australian Exporters Brace for More China Trade PainCanberra’s trade war with Beijing is intensifying with state media in Beijing reporting that seven categories of imports are to be restrictedThough RCEP had helped reduce tariffs, smaller countries in the pact, like the 10 ASEAN members, have different reasons to worry. For instance, their dependence on China might increase although it is not clear if China will buy more of their products.“Laos and Cambodia are already part of the ASEAN-China Free Trade Area, so RCEP won’t necessarily imply a major change in trade barriers with China,” Ferchen said. The ASEAN members are Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Myanmar, the Philippines, Thailand, Brunei, Singapore, Malaysia and Vietnam.  “Their bigger challenges are being overly dependent both economically and geopolitically on China, especially at a time when U.S.-China strategic competition is rising in Southeast Asia and countries are being asked to choose sides,” he explained.   Chinese state media has seen in this an opportunity to pat the government’s back.  “The RCEP includes multiple U.S. allies; their agreement to the deal is an affirmation that China will remain an intrinsic economic partner for them and that the region will ultimately work and cooperate together,” CGTN, the state-owned broadcaster, said.  It would take some time before any country sees the benefits of the deal because nine of the 15 member nations have to ratify it before it takes effect.”The economic benefits of the deal might only be marginal for South East Asia, but there are some interesting trade and tariff dynamics to watch for North East Asia,” said Nick Marro at the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU).”Ratification will likely be tricky in national parliaments, owing to both anti-trade and anti-China sentiment,” he said.

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Fears Over New COVID-19 Cluster in Australia

Australian officials are warning they face a “dangerous situation” in the coronavirus pandemic after reporting about 20 newly detected infections in the state of South Australia, its first outbreak since April. After seven months with no community transmission of the new coronavirus, South Australia is fighting to contain a cluster of new cases.   Most of the recently detected infections are within the same family. The source is thought to have been a hotel in Adelaide where Australian travelers are placed in mandatory quarantine after returning from overseas.  An infected cleaner is believed to have passed on the virus to his or her large family, including a prison worker.  Health authorities have been working to trace all known contacts of those within the Adelaide cluster. Thousands of people have been tested since it was discovered.  Just one new case was detected Monday, but South Australian premier Steven Marshall says vigilance is needed.“This is a very dangerous situation.  If we work cooperatively with SA (South Australia) Health and SA (South Australia) Police on this one we should get on top of it. But it is really a very worrying situation, and we must act very swiftly,” Marshall said.People are seen at a cafe after the state of Victoria saw COVID-19 case numbers drop in Melbourne, Nov. 17, 2020.The state government has brought in new emergency restrictions in South Australia, including the closure of gyms, while international flights carrying returning Australian citizens and permanent residents have been suspended for seven days. The outbreak could hamper Australia’s efforts to reopen state and territory borders by Christmas.  Western Australia, Tasmania and the Northern Territory are reintroducing quarantine measures on South Australian residents.    But other jurisdictions, including New South Wales, have no plans to refuse entry to visitors from South Australia.  New South Wales Premier Gladys Berejiklian. “What this does is reinforce for us how contagious the disease is and how unexpectedly cases and outbreaks can arise. But it is how you deal with those outbreaks, and we are confident that if that happened in New South Wales, we would get on top of it and similarly that South Australian authorities are getting on top of it and that is our understanding from our health officials here in New South Wales,” Berejiklian said.New South Wales has recorded its 10th consecutive day without any community transmission of COVID-19, while Victoria state officials say they have now gone 18 days in a row without a new case following the easing of a strict lockdown in the city of Melbourne. Since the pandemic began, Australia has diagnosed 27,750 coronavirus infections. More than 900 people have died. Australia closed its international borders to foreign nationals in March.  

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Cambodia Convicts Journalist for Criticizing Hun Sen

A Cambodian newspaper publisher who made critical comments about Prime Minister Hun Sen on Facebook has been sentenced to 18 months in prison. A Phnom Penh Municipal Court on Wednesday jailed Ros Sokhet for incitement and ordered him to pay a fine of $500 (2 million riels), said Sam Sokong, a lawyer for the journalist. Sokhet runs the Khmer-language news website Cheat Khmer. The publisher said he believes the conviction affects his freedom of expression, because the posts were his personal opinion, and has asked to appeal, the lawyer said. FILE – Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen waves to government civil servants in Phnom Penh, Cambodia, Jan. 7, 2020.Article 41 of Cambodia’s constitution guarantees freedom of expression. Sokhet is the second journalist in recent weeks to be convicted of  incitement. The vaguely defined charge is often used to target detractors and critics of Hun Sen and the Cambodian government, rights groups say. In October, Sovann Rithy, who founded the social media news outlet TVFB, was convicted of incitement and given a suspended sentence, and last week Sok Oudom, who runs Rithysen Radio News Station in Kampong Chhnang province, went on trial. Rights groups have criticized the Cambodian government for using accusations of incitement to curtail press freedom.Cambodia’s Use of Incitement Law Chills Press FreedomThree arrests in as many months could make journalists fearful of reporting on critical issues, media experts sayIth Sothoeuth, media director at the Cambodian Center for Independent Media, said the recent legal actions send a threatening message to journalists working on controversial stories.  “I think the sustained conviction of journalists can be a threatening signal to other journalists who are doing their work,” Sothoeuth said.  In Sokhet’s case, the conviction relates to Facebook posts in June that accused Hun Sen of failing to help people who are in debt, and for urging the prime minister not to nominate his son as his successor, according to the media watchdogs Committee to Protect Journalists and Reporters Without Borders. TVFB journalist Rithy faced similar accusations when he was arrested in early April. Rithy’s charge related to his reporting on comments made by Hun Sen at a press conference in which the prime minister said that informal workers, including motorcycle taxi drivers, should sell their vehicles to buy rice because the government could not help them during the COVID-19 economic downturn. In a statement earlier this month Human Rights Watch described Rithy’s conviction as “an especially outrageous case which exemplifies Cambodia’s relentless attack on media freedoms.”  Radio station owner Oudom is accused of inciting villagers against the military. The journalist broadcast a Facebook Live report on a long-standing land dispute in Kampong Chhnang province’s Phnom Aural Wildlife Sanctuary, according to his wife, Nuth Sovanthou. Authorities accused him of “exaggerated news reporting.”  Oudom often posted stories on the Rithysen Radio News Station Facebook page about land disputes, clashes between people and police, and provincial court cases. “It is unfair for my husband,” Sovanthou said, adding that under Cambodia’s press law, journalists who publish an error should run a correction, not be arrested. Un Chanthol, the lawyer representing Oudom, denied that the journalist incited villagers. “He went to report news, not to incite,” Chanthol said. More than 50 local and international rights groups called on Cambodia earlier this month to end its attacks on free expression and to protect journalists who are critical of the government. The statement listed at least 13 journalists whom it said had faced court complaints for news coverage and said authorities had revoked four media licenses during the coronavirus pandemic for the alleged sharing of false news. 
 
“In the past years, the Cambodian government adopted a series of repressive laws that have enabled a crackdown on independent media and social media and resorted to provisions in the penal code – in particular articles 494 and 495 – to silence critical reporting and its reporters,” read the statement, referring to the criminal code provisions on incitement. In response, Cambodia’s Information Ministry said the rights groups’ statement is baseless and intended to deceive public opinion. It added that the journalists were arrested for wrongdoing. Reporters Without Borders ranks Cambodia 144th out of 180 countries, where 1 is the most free, in the 2020 World Press Freedom Index.   
 

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British Diplomat Saves Drowning Student in China

A British diplomat leaped into a river in southwestern China and rescued a drowning student over the weekend, Britain’s embassy in Beijing and Chinese state media said. Stephen Ellison, the 61-year-old British consul-general in Chongqing, jumped into the water in the municipality on Saturday after spotting the struggling female student, who had fallen in by accident, China’s official Xinhua news agency reported. A video of the incident posted on the British embassy’s Twitter account shows a woman drifting facedown in the water as onlookers scream in panic, before the diplomat takes off his shoes, plunges in and swims to her aid. We are all immensely proud of our Chongqing Consul General, Stephen Ellison, who dived into a river on Saturday to rescue a drowning student and swim her to safety. pic.twitter.com/OOgXqsK5oe— UK in China 🇬🇧 (@ukinchina) November 16, 2020 A life preserver is then tossed into the river, enabling people on the bank to drag Ellison and the student to safety. “Thanks to the rescue, the student soon resumed breathing and regained consciousness,” Xinhua said, citing the local authorities, without naming the woman. The British embassy said everyone is “immensely proud” of Ellison. Sino-British ties have been strained in recent months over China’s decision to impose a new national security law to quell pro-democracy protests in Hong Kong, which London handed back to Beijing in 1997 after 156 years of British rule. China on November 5 barred non-Chinese travelers from countries including Britain from entering amid surging coronavirus cases.  

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Olympics Chief Confident Spectators Will Be in Attendance for Postponed Tokyo Games

The head of the International Olympic Committee said he is “very confident” that spectators will be allowed to attend next year’s postponed Tokyo Olympic Summer Games — as long as they are vaccinated against COVID-19.   IOC President Thomas Bach made the pledge Monday in the Japanese capital after meeting Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga for two days of talks to discuss the coronavirus  countermeasures organizers are putting in place for the Games.   Bach said the IOC “will undertake great efforts” to ensure all Olympic participants and visitors are vaccinated before they arrive in Japan next July, if a vaccine is available by then, so that spectators will have “a safe environment.”  The Tokyo Olympics were initially scheduled to be held between July and August of this year, but organizers and then-Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe decided to postpone the event for a year as the pandemic began spreading across the globe.   Organizers’ hopes that the Games could still be held were boosted last week after Tokyo successfully hosted an international gymnastics competition. But public opinion surveys suggest most Japanese residents are opposed to staging the Games. Organizers said last week that participating athletes will not have to enter a mandatory 14-day quarantine period when they arrive. Tokyo Olympics Chief Executive Toshiro Muto told reporters that a decision on allowing foreign spectators to observe the events would be finalized next year, but said it is a possibility the two-week quarantine could be waived for them as well.   

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Why China and a Bloc of Nations Led by Vietnam Just Met but Ignored Asia’s Biggest Maritime Dispute

China and leaders from 10 Southeast Asian countries who held annual summits this month sidestepped a sticky maritime sovereignty question to focus on trade and COVID-19, signaling a tough year ahead for the rival nations, experts believe.  Apart from polite acknowledgements of the dispute, which engulfs about 90% of the South China Sea including prime fisheries and energy-exploration tracts, Beijing and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) barely touched on the issue at the 37th ASEAN Summit November 12-15. More robust discussions focused on China’s international COVID-19 response and a long-awaited signing of the ASEAN Summit in Hanoi, Nov. 15, 2020.“Discussing the international and regional situation, the leaders of both sides shared the view on the importance of building the East Sea into a sea of peace, security, stability, and cooperation,” the prime minister said in a statement, using Vietnam’s term for the contested waterway.    Vietnam is usually the most outspoken ASEAN member on the issue and might feel pressure to comment — though not too boldly — said Alexander Vuving, professor at the Daniel K. Inouye Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies in Hawaii.  “If they feel a lot of peer pressure [that] they have to sign, then the text will be very watered down to something that’s very vague and based on what we have already seen,” he said, referring to statements from previous summits. The Vietnamese prime minister said more in the statement on COVID-19, particularly China’s $1 million commitment for an ASEAN pandemic response fund. Both Vietnam and China report low caseloads and normal economic activity, but tourism, events and factory orders are still struggling because of disease-related shutdowns in the West.    The new trade partnership would help the economies of its 15 members by forming the world’s largest trading network, one that covers about a third of all global economic activity. China and ASEAN, a bloc covering about 650 million people, both signed. The partnership signing Sunday without action on the maritime dispute sends a message from ASEAN to China that trade takes priority over maritime security, said Stephen Nagy, senior associate professor of politics and international studies at International Christian University in Tokyo. This year’s South China Sea impasse adds pressure on everyone to sign a maritime code of conduct by next year, heeding a timeline proposed in 2018 by Chinese Premier Li Keqiang, analysts say.  China and ASEAN have been working on the code, aimed at preventing mishaps at sea, since 2002. China had stalled for years but renewed interest in 2016 after losing a world court arbitration case to the Philippines.    ASEAN and China still disagree on which tracts of the 3.5 million-square-kilometer sea the code should cover and on who would enforce the code. If China and the ASEAN bloc sign a code, each party might apply it differently because of the split over enforcement, Vuving said. “I think that the COVID crisis is probably going to make it difficult for them to prioritize a code of conduct when they’re more concerned about recovering their domestic economies and resuming trade and tourism and everything else,” Nagy said.   Southeast Asian countries are shelving the maritime dispute as well this year to wait for U.S. President-elect Joe Biden to make his views clear, Oh said.    President Donald Trump increased the frequency of U.S. Navy ships sent to waters near China and stepped up arms sales to surrounding countries as warnings to Beijing. ASEAN members felt protected by Washington but worried too about a possible conflict between the two superpowers, scholars in the region have said. 

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Aung San Suu Kyi, NLD Win Second Landslide Election in Myanmar

Myanmar’s Aung San Suu Kyi and her ruling National League for Democracy have clinched a second consecutive landslide win in national elections, though analysts still expect slow going for democratic reforms and peace talks in the war-torn country.The Union Election Commission Saturday declared the NLD the winner of the Nov. 8 poll, with the party gaining 396 of the 498 contested seats in the bicameral parliament. That not only puts it well over the 322 it needs to govern alone but gives it nine more seats than it won in 2015, when it swept to power in Myanmar’s first democratic elections after decades of military rule.”I think it was a very straightforward message, which is, ‘You trusted us five years ago, trust us again, and Mother Suu’s in charge and everything will be OK,’” said Myanmar analyst David Mathieson, borrowing a favorite term for the country’s de facto leader among her followers.Transition courseHot and cold conflicts between the military and ethnic armed groups fighting for autonomy in Myanmar’s hinterlands saw the election commission cancel 22 parliament races over security concerns, disenfranchising 1.4 million eligible voters in areas where ethnic minority parties do best. Hundreds of thousands of ethnic Rohingya were also denied a vote because the government refuses to recognize them as citizens, even though many trace their roots in Myanmar back several generations.The Carter Center, a U.S.-based election monitor, flagged concerns with those denied a vote and possible election commission bias in the NLD’s favor, but said that for the most part “voters were able to freely express their will at the polls.”U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo also raised concerns about the canceled races, disenfranchised Rohingya, and the many seats in parliament reserved for the military but said the election was still “an important step in the country’s democratic transition.”Abroad, Suu Kyi has seen the democratic credentials she earned over years of house arrest for standing up to the military shredded by her defense of the army’s bloody 2017 operations in the western state of Rakhine. A well-documented campaign of arson, rape and murder drove more than 700,000 Rohingya into neighboring Bangladesh that year. Myanmar’s military called its operations a justified and mostly clean counterinsurgency; the United Nations dubbed it a “textbook example of ethnic cleansing.”At home, though, most people believe Suu Kyi and the NLD are their best bet for driving the widely reviled military out of politics for good. Myanmar’s generals still have absolute control of key ministries that run the country’s armed forces, police and borders, and are guaranteed a quarter of the seats in parliament under the constitution they drafted, just enough to veto any attempt to take those seats away.”The election outcome is proof that the most important consideration for Myanmar voters is that the country stays the course on its democratic transition. To many, the NLD still represents their best chance to ensure that,” said Dereck Aw, a senior analyst for consultants Control Risks who follows Myanmar.Military relationsHe and other analysts have their doubts, though, about how much more the ruling party can do with a second term.Aw reckons the NLD will continue to “walk [a] fine line” with the military.”It will hesitate to challenge the military’s enduring grip on politics and the economy. This would limit what the NLD can realistically achieve in the next five years,” he said.The NLD made a big push in its first term to strip the constitution of many provisions that preserve the military’s political sway, only to see the generals dash months of negotiation by blocking their proposals.Mathieson said the NLD could use the mandate it has earned by once again drubbing the military’s political proxy, the Union Solidarity and Development Party, at the polls to push the military even harder on reform. The USDP, the closest thing Myanmar has to a formal opposition, won only 33 seats, eight fewer than it did in 2015.He said, though, that the NLD made little effort over the past five years to even peel back repressive parts of the constitution it could amend with a simple majority, without support from the military.”They didn’t seem very interested in that in the past five years, so why would we think they’re going to be interested now?” he said.There’s also concern that relations between the NLD and military, already declining by some accounts, could fray further still.Khin Zaw Win, who heads the Tampadipa Institute, a Yangon think tank, said a battle is brewing over the presidency.Barred from becoming president by the constitution, Suu Kyi has appointed loyalists to the post who let her rule from the sidelines as “state counselor,” a title contrived just for her as a workaround. Khin Zaw Win, however, said military chief Min Aung Haling, who is overdue for retirement, is widely believed to covet the presidency himself.”So there could be a big clash coming,” he said.Peace talksThe analyst said those tensions will also make it tougher for Myanmar to make progress on the long-running peace talks Suu Kyi’s civilian government and military have been holding haltingly with ethnic armed groups who want to turn the country into a federation.Suu Kyi has squandered much of the good will she first had with the ethnic parties closely tied to those armed groups with her imperious approach, said Christina Fink, a professor at George Washington University in the U.S. who studies Myanmar.In Rakhine, for example, the NLD appointed one of its own as chief minister, even though a local party representing the ethnic Arakan who live there dominates the state legislature. The north of the state is now racked by heavy fighting between the military and Arakan Army, another armed group that wants autonomy for its region.While working to whittle away the military’s political power, Fink said, Suu Kyi and the NLD have let the military set much of the agenda in the peace talks and even endorsed its fight with the Arakan Army.”A lot of ethnic parties feel that they’ve been marginalized and that the NLD has just kind of pursued things on its own,” said Fink. “So it has to do a lot of work to really prove to the ethnic parties, both within the peace process and outside of the peace process, that it is committed to establishing a federal democratic union.”

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Businesses Adapt to Survive COVID

The economic impact from COVID-19 has led to the shutdown of companies around the globe. But as Dave Grunebaum reports, one small business in Malaysia found a way to go from bust to boom. 

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Huge Asian Trade Pact Signed in Coup for China

Fifteen Asian and Pacific countries Sunday signed the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership agreement on the sidelines of the annual Association of Southeast Asian Nations summit.The agreement, signed virtually, creates the largest trading bloc in the world and includes about a third of global economic activity.Vietnamese Prime Minister Nguyen Xuan Phuc chaired the summit.”And I am delighted to say that after eight years of hard work, as of today, we have officially brought RCEP negotiation to a conclusion for signing,” he said.Phuc added that the agreement will help global and regional economies cope with the obstacles and challenges arising from COVID-19 and the resulting decrease in global trade.“The conclusion of RCEP negotiation, the largest free trade agreement in the world, will send a strong message that affirms ASEAN’s leading role in supporting the multilateral trading system, creating a new trading structure in the region, enabling sustainable trade facilitation, revitalizing the supply chains disrupted by COVID-19 and assisting the post pandemic recovery,” he said.The deal, which was first proposed in 2012, will lower tariffs on trade among the signatories and opens services trade.RCEP includes the 10 ASEAN countries plus China, Japan, South Korea, Australia and New Zealand, but not the United States.Analysts see the accord as offering huge advantage for China in extending its influence.

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