Ukrainians Report Optimistic Outlook Despite Economic, Emotional Struggles

Despite bleak outlooks on their emotional and financial well-being, Ukrainians still remain optimistic about their future, according to a Gallup poll released Thursday.

The pressures of war have been weighing heavily on Ukrainian citizens since Russia’s full-scale invasion in February 2022. Many say they have been unable to afford necessities such as food and shelter, and many others report experiencing negative feelings, worry chief among them.

Living conditions in Ukraine have been challenging, with only about 38% of Ukrainians surveyed saying they are satisfied with their standard of living, and around 63% saying that living standards are getting worse.

Nearly 53% of the population surveyed said there were times in the last 12 months when they were unable to afford food for themselves or their families. About 48% of those polled said they were unable to afford shelter.

The hardships were felt most by Ukrainians who have not had more than a secondary education. This group had 20% more respondents who were unable to afford food, and 12% more who were unable to afford housing, compared to those with a higher education.

Emotional issues also remain at high levels, despite having stabilized since the end of last year.

The most frequently experienced negative emotion was worry, which was felt by more than half (53%) of respondents. Other common negative emotions were sadness (39%), stress (32%), and anger (22%).

Some of those surveyed did report positive emotions, with nearly half (48%) saying they either smiled or laughed the previous day, and 54% saying they felt enjoyment.

When asked how they would rate their lives on a scale from one to 10, with 10 being the best possible life, the average response was 4.7.

Despite this, most Ukrainians look forward to a better future. When asked to rate their expectations for their lives five years from now, the response increased to 7.7.

That optimism underscores the results of a previous Gallup poll, which found that most residents are committed to continuing the war effort until Russia is driven from Ukrainian territory.

 

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US Diplomat Resigns in Protest Over Arms Transfer to Israel

Internal dissent within the Biden administration over its unwavering support of Israel’s military offensive in Gaza in retaliation for the Oct. 7 attack by Hamas was evident with the recent resignation of a diplomat.

Josh Paul, who until last week was the director of congressional and public affairs at the State Department’s bureau that handles arms transfers and security assistance to foreign governments, quit in protest over policies that he said amount to a green light for Israeli retaliation regardless of the toll on civilians.

The State Department did not directly comment on Paul’s resignation, saying it was a personnel matter. In a letter to staff, Secretary of State Antony Blinken acknowledged the personal difficulties some are facing.

Paul spoke with White House Bureau Chief Patsy Widakuswara about what he said was a lack of responsible debate in his former office on providing Israel with weapons to fight its war in Gaza and how he believes it undermines U.S. strategic interests and values.

This transcript has been edited for clarity and brevity.

 

VOA: Why did you resign?

 

Paul: I resigned because I felt that we were in the midst of major policy decisions concerning arms transfers to Israel, but they were not receiving the attention needed and typically received on human rights concerns, civilian casualties’ concerns, in the context of the conflict that we’re currently seeing in Gaza.

VOA: What happened after Oct. 7?

Paul: Very quickly after the Oct. 7 attack by Hamas — which, let me be clear, was an absolute atrocity and should be condemned and Israel does have a right to respond to — we started to receive requests from Israel for a large variety of munitions.

Typically, when we receive such requests from partners, there’s going to be a policy process where we look at the partner’s track record on human rights, we look at other factors including risks of civilian harm. There’s a Conventional Arms Transfer Policy that guides these decisions, which says that arms shall not be transferred when there is a more likely than not risk that they will be used for human rights violations.

As the Israeli operation in Gaza started with a massive bombardment, we could already see hundreds and then thousands of Palestinian civilians dying. And yet there was no policy debate, no questions about whether we were going to pause and take into account our regular policies and legal requirements. It was just, “let’s rush these arms to Israel as quickly as we can, and consequences be damned.”

VOA: That was an explicit directive? Your superiors at the State Department say that we do not have time for debate, we want everybody to agree on this?

Paul: That’s correct.

VOA: Was there an explanation when you protested?

Paul: I don’t think an explanation was needed. The understanding was this is Israel. This is a special case. This is how the administration is approaching it. That was made apparent not only internally, but externally with the immediate reaction from the White House to Israel and its response to the attacks.

VOA: You worked in that bureau for 11 years. Has there ever been other instances where the decision to send weapons occurred without debate?

Paul: No, there’s always been debates. And let me be clear, I’m not inherently opposed to the transfer of U.S. arms. There are instances in which they do a lot of good, in Ukraine, in support to other allies in Europe. But even in those circumstances, even for our closest allies, if there is hint controversy, it is always discussed.

VOA: Even before this Hamas attack, we sent $3 billion to $4 billion [in military aid] to Israel annually. Has it helped Israeli security? Has it helped regional stability?

Paul: I don’t think it has. I’m all for Israelis to live in peace and security, as I am for Palestinians to live in peace and security. The problem is that we have assumed the obstacle to a lasting political solution to the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is a lack of Israeli security, and if Israel feels more secure then it will be able to make the concessions that it needs to allow a Palestinian state to emerge.

 

The problem with the blanket of U.S. security and the unquestioning nature of it, Israel feels free to push the envelope, to expand settlements in the West Bank, to build the security barriers across the West Bank, to continue the siege of Gaza. … Our security systems have, in the long term, not made Israel more secure.

 

VOA: Many in the Arab world and the global south see U.S. backing of Israel as part of this idea that the U.S. applies double standards in its foreign policy. Would you care to comment on that?

Paul: That’s a really important point. This administration rightly sees strategic competition with the People’s Republic of China as the driving, most concerning aspects of international relations. In that conflict, the United States has three edges: military strength, our global network of alliances and partnerships, and our values.

Our posture on Israel is significantly undermining that strategic competition by raising questions about our values. How is the United States any different from any other country in the world if it’s willing to walk away from its values when it is politically expedient? It does us not only moral harm, I think it does us strategic harm as well.

VOA: The administration is now trying to balance the support for Israel and humanitarian concerns as well as stop the conflict from broadening. This is a tough balancing act for the president. What is your message to him?

Paul: I fully agree that broadening the conflict would be a disaster for everyone involved, and I am heartened for the focus the administration has put on that, including through deploying carrier strike groups to the Eastern Mediterranean. It sends a strong message.

I think part of preventing the conflict from widening is also minimizing civilian casualties in Gaza. I think the more Palestinian civilians are killed, the harder it will be for stability in other countries, in other parts of the region. So, if we want regional stability, if we don’t want this conflict to expand, we need to make sure that it ends as quickly as possible and is carried out as carefully as possible with regards to civilian harm.

VOA: You’re making that link between civilian casualties in Gaza to broader regional instability because of the anger of populations in the Arab world?

Paul: We’ve seen the impact on U.S. reputational damage and diplomatic damage that Israel’s response has already cost us in the region. There are consequences to U.S. strategic interests both in the region and around the world. And I think we need to be cognizant of that.

I think that there is a disconnect between the political level in the U.S. and the civil service and American population. I do hope that over time there can be a sea-change at the political level that brings it more in line with what the American people can expect from our foreign policy.

 

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Biden Defends West Bank Civilians, His Most Sympathetic Remarks to Palestinians Since War in Gaza

In an apparent shift of rhetoric, President Joe Biden on Wednesday delivered his most pointed expression yet of concern for Palestinian civilians affected by the conflict between Israel and Hamas.

Biden said he continues to be alarmed about attacks by what he called extremist settlers against Palestinians in the West Bank, likening the assaults to “pouring gasoline on fire.”

He made the remarks at the beginning of his joint press conference with Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, who was at the White House for a state visit.

“This was a deal. The deal was made, and they’re attacking Palestinians in places that they’re entitled to be,” Biden said, referring to the 1993 Oslo Accords. “It has to stop,” he implored. “They have to be held accountable. It has to stop now.”

According to the health ministry run by the Palestinian Authority, more than 100 Palestinians have been killed in the West Bank in retaliatory attacks by Israeli settlers and in military raids since Hamas launched its incursion on Israeli soil on Oct. 7, an attack in which Israeli authorities said at least 1,400 people were massacred and 200 were taken hostage.

Biden did not mention the Israeli military’s role in the West Bank violence. Following Hamas’ attacks, Israel’s National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, a far-right settler with a history of anti-Arab incitement, distributed weapons to settlers, many of whom were already heavily armed.

Hamas, the militant group that controls the Gaza Strip, cited Israel’s decades-long occupation of the West Bank among its motives for attacking Israeli civilians and soldiers.

Israeli retaliatory airstrikes since October 7 have killed more than 5,000 people in Gaza, according to the Hamas-controlled Ministry of Health, and have displaced more than a million people who have followed Israeli evacuation orders.

Biden expressed skepticism on the death toll, doubting that “Palestinians are telling the truth.”

A senior administration official clarified to VOA the president is skeptical of Hamas-supplied figures given the limited ability of outside parties to verify them and because of the ministry’s “history of inflating death tolls.”

Robert McCaw, who leads the Government Affairs Department at the Council on American-Islamic Relations, mocked Biden’s skepticism.

“Would it make the president feel better if only 1,000 children were dead?” he said to VOA.

Still, Biden’s remarks were his most extensive and sympathetic toward Palestinians since the war broke out. He outlined a postwar vision in which Hamas – the organization that Washington designated in 1997 as a foreign terrorist group – is dismantled and the region is on a path toward a two-state solution.

He underscored the need for Israel’s Arab neighbors to come to diplomatic terms with Israel without brushing aside the Palestinian cause, and he suggested that progress toward “regional integration for Israel” was a motive for Hamas’ attack.

Shift in tone

Wednesday’s remarks marked a shift in tone for Biden. Days after the militants’ attack, in a forceful and emotional speech denouncing Hamas as “pure, unadulterated evil,” Biden made no mention of Palestinian casualties despite hundreds already killed in Israeli airstrikes in Gaza.

Fresh off his brief wartime visit to Tel Aviv, in an Oct. 20 speech requesting funding to support Israel and Ukraine, Biden said he was “heartbroken by the tragic loss of Palestinian life.”

In the same sentence, he backed Israel’s account that it was not responsible for the deadly hospital explosion in Gaza. U.S. officials say they have concluded Israel is not to blame for the explosion at the hospital.

 

As Israeli retaliatory airstrikes continue, with heavy tolls on civilians in Gaza and the threat of a wider war in the Middle East, some see a shift in Biden’s handling of the crisis.

The president’s rhetoric at the beginning of the conflict was “so decidedly one-sided” that the administration didn’t provide themselves with “a way out when they wanted to pivot,” said James Zogby, president of the Arab American Institute.

“Is it a decisive enough shift to represent balance? Not yet,” Zogby told VOA. “The Israelis certainly still have a green light.”

As casualties grow, Biden is under increasing pressure from groups denouncing his “unwavering” support of Israel.

American Muslims have been “disturbed, shocked, disappointed, and distraught” by Biden’s policies, said Salam Al-Marayati, president of the Muslim Public Affairs Council.

Al-Marayati noted that while Biden’s words have become more sympathetic, they are betrayed by his administration’s actions.

“They’re ready for a full-scale invasion of the Middle East, not just Gaza,” he told VOA. “God knows where this will take us.”

In response to a reporter’s question, Biden said he did not ask Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to delay the ground invasion that Israel is planning, to allow extraction of hostages including Americans out of Gaza.

“What I have indicated to him is that if that’s possible to get these folks out safely, that’s what he should do,” he said. “It’s their decision, but I did not demand it.”

Americans side with Israel

Several polls taken after the Hamas attack show most Americans side with Israel in the conflict. The numbers reverse a long-term trend where Americans’ sympathies toward Palestinians have gradually increased over the past several years, although still less than toward Israelis. A 2013 Gallup poll indicated that 64% of Americans sympathized with Israelis and 12% with Palestinians. Earlier this year, the gap narrowed to 54% to 31%.

Even with domestic pressure from Arab and Muslim Americans as well as Progressive Democrats, a year away from U.S. presidential elections, the bigger factor in Biden’s calculation is international condemnation, said Zogby.

Massive anti-Israeli and anti-American demonstrations have created tensions in the Arab world, risking greater instability and prospects of regional escalation that Washington and its allies are keen to avoid.

Washington is also keen to keep good relations with Global South countries, many of which side with the Palestinian cause, as the U.S. competes for world influence with China and Russia, said Richard Gowan, U.N. director of the International Crisis Group.

One way to let off a little steam in the crisis is to ensure humanitarian aid gets into Gaza, Gowan told VOA.

“I think the U.S. wants to show that – both in the region and at the U.N. – it is trying to get assistance to the Palestinians, with the hopes that that will lower the rising temperature in the region.”

That hope was dashed Wednesday at the U.N. when Russia and China vetoed a U.S.- sponsored Security Council resolution that called for a humanitarian pause in fighting, the protection of civilians and a stop to arming Hamas and other militants in the Gaza Strip. Days earlier the U.S. vetoed a draft from Brazil that would allow humanitarian aid but did not include Israel’s right to defend itself.

Misha Komadovsky contributed to this report.

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Firearms Instructor is Person of Interest in Maine Shooting: Police

The man identified as a person of interest in a mass killing in Maine is a firearms instructor trained by the military and was recently committed to a mental health facility, according to a state police bulletin.

The police intelligence bulletin, reviewed by The Associated Press, was being circulated to law enforcement officials Wednesday night after the shootings that left at least 16 people dead.

The bulletin says the man, Robert Card, had been trained as a firearms instructor at a U.S. Army Reserve training facility in Maine. The document says Card had been committed to a mental health facility for two weeks in the summer of 2023. It did not provide specific details about his treatment or condition.

The document also said Card had reported hearing voices and had threatened to carry out a shooting at the military training base in Saco, Maine.

Card was being sought by police as a person of interest in Wednesday’s shootings. A telephone number listed for Card in public records was not in service.

Lewiston Police confirmed in a Facebook post that Card was a person of interest in the shooting and said he should be considered armed and dangerous.

The shootings at a bowling alley and a bar in Lewiston on Wednesday night killed at least 16 people and engulfed the state’s second-largest city in chaos. The suspect remained at large as authorities ordered residents and business owners to stay inside and off the streets.

Two law enforcement officials told The Associated Press dozens of people also had been wounded. The officials were not authorized to publicly discuss details of the ongoing investigation and spoke to AP on condition of anonymity.

Lewiston Police said in an earlier Facebook post that they were dealing with an active shooter incident at Schemengees Bar and Grille and Sparetime Recreation, a bowling alley about 6.4 kilometers away.

The Androscoggin County Sheriff’s Office released two photos of the suspect on its Facebook page that showed a shooter walking into an establishment with a weapon raised to their shoulder.

“Please stay off the roads to allow emergency responders access to the hospitals,” police said.

On its website, Central Maine Medical Center said staff were “reacting to a mass casualty, mass shooter event” and were coordinating with area hospitals to take in patients.

A woman who answered the phone in the emergency department said no further information could be released and that the hospital itself was on lockdown.

Melinda Small, the owner of Legends Sports Bar and Grill, said her staff immediately locked their doors and moved all 25 customers and employees away from the doors after a customer reported hearing about the shooting at the bowling alley less than a quarter-mile away around 7 p.m.

Soon, the police flooded the roadway and a police officer eventually escorted everyone out of the building four at a time. Everyone in the bar is safe.

“I am honestly in a state of shock. I am blessed that my team responded quickly and everyone is safe,” Small told The Associated Press. “But the same time, my heart is broken for this area and for what everyone is dealing with. I just feel numb.”

The alert for Lewiston was made shortly after 8 p.m. as the sheriff’s office reported that law enforcement agencies were investigating “two active shooter events.” Officials issued an update around 10 p.m. on their search.

“Avoid the area until authorities give the all-clear,” the statement said. “Seek alternative routes to circumvent the area and any disruptions. If already operating in the affected region, adhere to all instructions issued by local officials, including the shelter-in-place order.”

“We are encouraging all businesses to lock down and or close while we investigate,” the sheriff’s office reported.

A spokesperson for Maine Department of Public Safety urged residents to stay in their homes with their doors locked.

“Law enforcement is currently investigating at two locations right now,” Shannon Moss said. “Again please stay off the streets and allow law enforcement to diffuse the situation.”

Gov. Janet Mills released a statement echoing those instructions. She said she has been briefed on the situation and will remain in close contact with public safety officials. 

President Joe Biden had spoken by phone to Mills and the state’s Congress members, offering “full federal support in the wake of this horrific attack,” a White House statement said.

Local schools will be closed Thursday and people should shelter in place or seek safety, Superintendent Jake Langlais said, adding: “Stay close to your loved ones. Embrace them.” 

Lewiston, about 56 kilometers north of Portland, emerged as a major center for African immigration into Maine. The Somali population, which numbers in the thousands, has changed the demographics of the once overwhelmingly white mill city into one of the most diverse in northern New England.

Ange Amores, a spokesperson for the city of Lewiston, said city officials are not commenting on the shooting. Amores said Maine State Police were planning to hold a news conference, likely at city hall, to update the public on Wednesday night.

Maine Sen. Angus King, an independent, said he was “deeply sad for the city of Lewiston and all those worried about their family, friends and neighbors” and was monitoring the situation. King’s office said the senator would be headed directly home to Maine on the first flight possible.

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US Denies Hamas Eyeing US Southern Border

Fears that Hamas’ deadly terror attack on Israel could help spark a wider conflict or even terror attacks in the United States have yet to materialize into actual threats, according to U.S. officials, but that has not stopped concerns from spreading.

The focus on the potential threat has grown in recent days following the appearance online of an apparent Customs and Border Protection, or CBP, memo warning that operatives with links to Hamas, Palestinian Islamic Jihad or Hezbollah might try to enter the U.S. along its southern border.

The U.S. has designated all three groups as Foreign Terrorist Organizations.

“Individuals inspired by or reacting to the current Israel-Hamas conflict may attempt travel to or from the area of hostilities in the Middle East via circuitous transit across the Southwest border,” according to the memo, first obtained by The Daily Caller.

The document, from the CBP’s San Diego field office, further warns, “Foreign fighters motivated by ideology or mercenary soldiers of fortune may attempt to obfuscate travel to or from the U.S. to or from countries in the Middle East through Mexico.”

It then shows insignias associated with each of the groups and suggests questions that could help identify a foreign fighter.

CBP declined to confirm the authenticity of the memo but, in a statement to VOA, downplayed the threat.

“CBP has seen no indication of Hamas-directed foreign fighters seeking to make entry into the United States,” a spokesperson said.

The spokesperson also said CBP “provides frontline personnel a wide range of context for situational awareness in order to ensure they remain vigilant in fulfillment of our homeland and border security missions.”

“Situational awareness briefs are not threat assessments,” the spokesperson said.

Concerns that the Hamas terror attack and Israel’s subsequent military response could spill over into U.S. streets spiked earlier this month when a former Hamas leader called for a day of rage, urging Muslims “to join in the fight” and deliver a “message of anger” in support of the militant group’s fight against Israel.

Police departments in New York, Los Angeles and Washington heightened security as a precaution. And the U.S. Department of Homeland Security hosted a call for almost 4,000 law enforcement agencies across the country to review the security environment and share additional resources.

Despite the concerns, a homeland security official said at the time that the department had “no specific credible intelligence indicating any potential threat to the homeland at this time.”

“If any information is developed that would require that we adjust our security posture to protect the homeland, we are, of course, prepared to do that,” the official said.

DHS threat assessments have also warned, repeatedly, that the biggest danger is homegrown, not foreign, and “marked by lone offenders or small group attacks that occur with little warning.”

Officials expressed concern that the volume of videos and propaganda flooding social media could serve as an accelerant.

Some U.S. lawmakers have been raising concerns about the potential for terrorists to use the border with Mexico as a gateway into the U.S.

“The number of individuals with derogatory information in terrorist screening databases illegally crossing the southwest border has also skyrocketed during the Biden Administration,” the Republican chairmen of the House Oversight, Judiciary and Homeland Security committees wrote in a letter to Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas last month. The letter warned of an “elevated national security risk.”

CBP officials maintain that “encounters of known and suspected terrorists at our borders are very uncommon.”

But a spike in migration across the Americas has raised the stakes.

“We obviously are concerned that with that increase, you might have an increase in people who might come over with malign intentions, including potential terrorists,” the DHS undersecretary for intelligence and analysis told an audience in Washington last month. 

Kenneth Wainstein said the department was working closely with the FBI to better identify anyone potentially affiliated with terror groups. The department’s various entities have “significantly ramped up their operations to ensure that we’re identifying any such bad actors before they come across,” he said.

More recently, DHS officials said there have not been any signs that terror groups are seeking to exploit migration patterns.

“We just haven’t seen information at all that would suggest that at this stage,” an official said earlier this month, briefing reporters on the condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak publicly.

Still, other eyes are also keeping watch, especially when it comes to Hezbollah, an Iranian-linked group known to operate in Central and South America.

The U.S. is “watching very, very closely,” the commander of U.S. Southern Command said during a forum in Washington earlier this month.

“Working with our partner nations, obviously they’re concerned, too,” Gen. Laura Richardson said in response to a question from VOA.

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Who Is Mike Johnson, the New US House Speaker?

Here are some key facts about Representative Mike Johnson, the Republican lawmaker from Louisiana’s Fourth District who was elected Wednesday as the new speaker of the House of Representatives:

Johnson is a constitutional lawyer who began his career as a college professor before going on to become a conservative media pundit.

After serving for two years in Louisiana’s state legislature, he was elected to the House of Representatives in 2017, the year Donald Trump was sworn in as president.

Throughout his congressional career, Johnson, who has served as vice chairman of the House Republican Conference and deputy whip for his party, has made a name for himself as one of Trump’s most loyal supporters.

In the run-up to January 6, 2021, the day the Capitol was ransacked by an armed mob of election deniers, Johnson fueled unfounded conspiracy theories alleging a rigged election.

He joined other hard-right lawmakers in voting against certifying the results of the 2020 election.

Trump endorsed Johnson for speaker in a recent post on X, writing, “In 2024, we will have an even bigger, & more important, WIN! My strong SUGGESTION is to go with the leading candidate, Mike Johnson, & GET IT DONE, FAST!”

Representative Kevin Hern of Oklahoma dropped out of the race for speaker on Tuesday evening and offered his support to Johnson.

“I want everyone to know this race has gotten to the point where it’s gotten crazy,” he said. “This is more about people right now than it should be. This should be about America and America’s greatness. For that, I stepped aside and threw all my support behind Mike Johnson. I think he’d make a great speaker.”

Johnson announced his bid in a post on X. He said that he had not considered running until several colleagues encouraged him to.

In Johnson, the hard-right lawmakers who ousted Representative Kevin McCarthy of California have their compromise after Jim Jordan and Steve Scalise’s bids failed — and the rest of the House has a leader, ending weeks of deadlock.

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Zimbabwe Says It Lost in Excess of $150 Billion to Sanctions

Zimbabwe’s vice president on Wednesday said the country has lost more than $150 billion due to sanctions imposed by the European Union and countries such as the United States following reports of election rigging and human rights abuses in the early 2000s.

Speaking to protesters rallying against the sanctions, Vice President Constantino Chiwenga said the measures were also hurting the entire southern Africa region.

He called the sanctions an “albatross” around Zimbabwe’s neck, as they include financial restrictions that isolate Zimbabwe from global access to capital.

“Since 2001, we estimate that Zimbabwe has lost or missed over $150 billion through frozen assets, trade embargos, export and investment restrictions from potential bilateral support, development loans, IMF and World Bank balance of payments support and commercial loans,” Chiwenga said, calling the sanctions “heinous and illegal.”

Stevenson Dhlamini, an economics professor at National University of Science and Technology in Zimbabwe, said the figure of $150 billion is consistent with what the Zimbabwean government has been saying over the years.

“The cumulative effect of the sanctions by the U.S., EU and the U.K. do have a cumulative impact that could be to that level,” Dhlamini said.

Not everyone agrees. 

Prosper Chitambara, senior economist with the Labor and Economic Development Research Institute of Zimbabwe, said multiple factors have affected the country’s economy, not just the sanctions.

“How do you then separate the effects of sanctions, say, from the effects of corruption, or from the effects of external shocks or climate-induced shocks?” he said, “Coming up with a number is a very difficult and tedious exercise to do.”

After the protest, which attracted mainly civil servants and ruling Zanu PF supporters, Chiwenga vowed that Zimbabwe’s economy will prevail over the sanctions.

“Sanctions are really hurting Zimbabweans,” he said. “By now, we could have gone far in terms of our economic growth. Our sin is that we took land [from white commercial farmers] and gave it to our people. Nothing else. The rest they are talking about is nonsense.

“But we think outside the box,” he said. “So, sanctions or no sanctions, Zimbabwe will prosper.”

Hopes of lifting the sanctions were dashed after many observer missions to Zimbabwe’s August 23 general election, including the Southern African Development Community, said the polls were not credible.

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Senate Committee Approves Jacob Lew’s Nomination as Ambassador to Israel

The Senate Foreign Relations Committee has approved the nomination of Jacob Lew to be the next U.S. ambassador to Israel.

The Senate could vote on Lew’s confirmation as early as next week. It’s expected to move on the nomination quickly, given the critical nature of U.S.-Israeli ties amid Israel’s raging conflict with Hamas.

Lew was approved by the committee Wednesday on a 12-9 vote, with all Republicans except for Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky voting against him.

Lew, who previously served in the Obama administration as treasury secretary and budget director, was nominated for the ambassador position last month by President Joe Biden.  Former Israel ambassador Tom Nide left the position in July.

While stating that he would ensure that Israel has all the resources it needs to defend itself following the October 7 attacks carried out by Hamas, Lew has also said he would look into the humanitarian crisis facing civilians in Gaza.

Lew enjoys support from Democrats who praise his government experience as enough qualification for him to have the job.

Republicans have concerns over his ability to deal with Iran, a key supporter of Hamas. Lew played a key role in negotiating the 2015 deal that eased sanctions on Iran in exchange for Tehran accepting limits on its nuclear program.

Former President Donald Trump pulled the United States out of the deal in 2018.

In a hearing last week, Republican Senator Jim Risch voiced concern that Lew was giving “backhanded support” to Iran.

Lew refuted this and has described the Iranian government as an “evil, malign government.”

Some information in this report was taken from The Associated Press and Reuters.

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For the Journal’s Beckett, Securing Colleague’s Release Is Full-Time Beat 

After a career spanning three decades and just as many continents, the Wall Street Journal’s Paul Beckett has a new assignment that he hopes will be his shortest yet: freeing his colleague Evan Gershkovich.  

Since Gershkovich was detained in Russia in March, Beckett has been working on his case in an informal capacity in addition to his duties as Washington bureau chief. But in his new role as assistant editor, Gershkovich will be Beckett’s sole priority.

“The longer this goes on, the harder we need to work,” Beckett told VOA recently over coffee. “I couldn’t think of a greater cause to pile in on.” 

 Russian authorities arrested Gershkovich while he was on a reporting trip. Moscow accused the reporter of spying, which he, the Journal and the U.S. government vehemently deny. The U.S. has also declared Gershkovich wrongfully detained.  

The Journal’s response to the arrest has been lauded by media advocates for its relentless coverage and social media blitzes, high-profile events and full-page newspaper ads. News about Gershkovich’s case remains at the top of the outlet’s homepage. 

“If you were ever in Evan’s situation, what would you like to see your employer doing on your behalf?” Beckett said. That’s his guiding principle. 

Four main constituencies are involved in working to free Gershkovich, according to Beckett: the reporter’s family, his newspaper, the U.S. government and the public. 

Gershkovich’s older sister Danielle is part of that first group. Her brother’s plight, she says, has clarified the important role that reporters play.  

“It makes me just believe stronger that journalism must be protected, and journalists must be protected and be able to do their jobs,” she told VOA.  

Beckett is quick to add that he is part of a larger “Team Evan” composed of the Journal’s lawyers and top editors. But in his role, he plans to start by working closely with those key groups, adding, “This is all learning on the job.”

And while discussions for Gershkovich’s release will be government-to-government, Beckett said, part of the strategy is to keep the public’s attention on the reporter. 

People should care about Gershkovich’s case, Beckett said, because it underscores broader threats against journalists and press freedom around the world. 

“The countries that matter the most to the United States, at the moment, are also the same countries that are doing the most against press freedom,” Beckett said. “And if those countries are attacking press freedom, how do you know what is happening in the world? And, therefore, how do you know what’s happening to America’s place in the world?”  

Prolonged detention

Authorities have repeatedly extended Gershkovich’s pre-trial detention, most recently in early October when a court ordered the reporter to remain in custody until at least November 30.

Under Russian law, he can be detained for up to one year before a trial has to begin.  

That reality hits hard for Gershkovich’s family.

“Every single day he’s detained is a day too long,” said his sister, Danielle Gershkovich.  

Media watchdogs rank Russia among the world’s worst press freedom environments, noting it is one of the countries with the most journalists in prison. 

Gershkovich is one of two American journalists imprisoned there.

Authorities in mid-October detained Alsu Kurmasheva, an editor at VOA’s sister outlet Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty. Russia said Kurmasheva, a dual U.S.-Russian national, was arrested for failing to register as a foreign agent.  

Russia’s Washington embassy did not reply to VOA’s email requesting comment. 

Over the course of his career Beckett — who originally hails from Scotland — has worked in several places that now have repressive media environments, including Mexico, India and Hong Kong.

Since working on securing Gershkovich’s release, Beckett has found himself reflecting on another Journal colleague — Daniel Pearl, who was kidnapped in Pakistan and killed in 2002. 

At the time, Beckett was covering terrorist financing and had met Pearl just a few months before Islamist militants captured him. 

“It was a huge shock to the Wall Street Journal,” Beckett said. Pearl and Gershkovich’s cases are very different, but Beckett admits the case has him thinking more about Pearl. 

Beckett didn’t know Pearl well, but he has never even met Gershkovich in person. Besides some emails here and there, they’ve never really interacted, Beckett said.  

He acknowledges the ironic one-sidedness of their relationship. The Scotsman spends most of his days thinking about Gershkovich. After many months of conversations with Gershkovich’s family, friends and close colleagues, Beckett knows more about the reporter than most people.  

“I have never met him, but I feel like I know him very well,” Beckett said. In turn, Beckett recognizes that Gershkovich barely knows who he is at all.  

None of that really matters, though, Beckett added.

“I think he would rather have me doing this than not.”  

Thinking about the moment when Gershkovich will be released is sensitive for Beckett. When asked about their eventual meeting, he averted his eyes.  

“I get pretty emotional,” he said after a long pause, still concentrating on the coffee shop door. “That would be an extraordinary time.” 

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Senegalese Opposition Leader Sonko Is in Intensive Care, Attorney Says

Detained Senegalese opposition figure Ousmane Sonko, who eight days ago resumed a hunger strike, is “very weak” and in an intensive care unit, one of his attorneys told AFP on Wednesday.

Sonko briefly fell into a coma on October 23, Cire Cledor Ly said, adding that he had been able to speak with the politician a day earlier.

He said Sonko regained consciousness the same day, but remained frail.

“The situation is alarming – the doctors are giving him treatment that he is unable to refuse,” Cledor Ly said. “I launch a solemn appeal to the head of state, because he has the means to put an end to this situation.”

Sonko, who intends to contest the presidential election in February, has accused President Macky Sall of using legal procedures to torpedo his political career, an accusation the president denies.

Sonko has faced a series of legal battles over the past two years.

He was arrested and imprisoned on a string of charges in July, including fomenting insurrection, criminal association in connection with a terrorist enterprise and undermining state security. over incidents dating to 2021.

He began a hunger strike on July 30 but called it off on September 2 at the request of influential religious leaders, according to people close to him.

He had already been admitted to an intensive care unit in August but resumed the strike on October 17.

In May, he was handed a six-month suspended sentence in a defamation case.

On June 1, he was sentenced in absentia to two years in prison for morally corrupting a young person, sparking fatal clashes.

His name was removed from electoral lists following that conviction. A judge last week ruled against his removal from the lists, but it is still not guaranteed that he will be able to run next year.

The General Directorate of Elections has refused to issue him sponsorship forms, arguing that the judge’s decision was “not final.”

Sall announced in July that he would not seek a third term, which many argued would have been unconstitutional.

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Kenya’s Judiciary Proposes Abolishing Death Penalty, Reduced Sentences

The chief justice of Kenya has sent a proposal to parliament that calls for removing the death penalty for the crimes of murder, violent theft and treason, saying the proposed changes aim to put the country’s laws more in line with international human rights standards.

Kenya’s Chief Justice Martha Koome is seeking changes to certain laws drafted in 1930, before Kenya gained independence, that seek harsher penalties for capital offenders.

Senator Samson Cherargei, a ruling party member of parliament, said he supports the proposed change to the death penalty.

“The right to life is very critical in our constitution and should not be taken in any format, even legally or illegally,” he said.

Bob Mkangi, a constitutional lawyer, said Kenyan laws need to change so that they reflect reality.

“For instance,” he said, “the death penalty … is there in our law books. But as Kenyans are aware, we sort of have a silent moratorium on the issue, because even those who have been condemned to death, no one has ever been hanged since the mid or late ’80s.”

The judiciary also advocates changing the life sentence penalty to a maximum of 30 years. Some lawmakers, including Cherargei, are opposed to reducing the length of life sentences.  

Congested prisons have long been a problem in Kenya, and legal experts say correctional facilities are filled with inmates convicted of petty crimes who have become a burden to taxpayers.

Prisons should be correctional and rehabilitation facilities and not just a place to house and punish offenders, Mkangi said.

“There are alternatives for dealing with some of these offenses,” he said. “Not everyone needs to be locked up, which again has a cost implication for the taxpayer.”

Mkangi said that because the criminal justice system’s philosophy is correction and rehabilitation, it doesn’t make sense to sentence someone to life in prison.

“How can you say you’re rehabilitating someone if you say they will be condemned to death, or they will be condemned custodially forever?” he said.

Kenya’s judiciary also aims to revise legal codes to safeguard intersex individuals within the criminal justice system; transfer the burden of proof in cases of incitement to violence and disobedience from the defendant to the prosecution; and abolish some minor offenses.

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Inside a Drone Factory: How It Helps Ukraine’s Defense Efforts

Brinc Drones is one of the U.S. companies shipping hundreds of drones to Ukraine. These drones are designed to help first responders survey the impacted areas of Russian shelling and find survivors. Adriy Borys visited the Brink manufacturing facility. Anna Rice narrates his story. Camera — Dmitriy Savchuk.

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Ghanaian Environmental Advocates Seek Repeal of Mining Law

Lawmakers in Ghana last year passed a law to allow regulated mining activities in the country’s forest reserves. Environmental advocates say the law threatens protected biodiversity reserves and are petitioning the government to repeal it. Senanu Tord reports from Atewa, Ghana

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Exclusive: $150 Million in Ukraine Military Aid Expected Wednesday

The United States is providing up to $150 million in additional military aid for Ukraine in a package expected as soon as Wednesday, three U.S. military officials tell VOA, a week after Ukraine used its newest weapon from the United States to pummel Russian military targets deep into Russian-controlled eastern Ukraine.

The package includes more GMLRS rockets for High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems (HIMARS), munitions for the National Advanced Surface-to-Air Missile System (NASAMS), TOW anti-tank missiles, AIM-9 Sidewinder missiles and 155 mm rounds, according to two of the officials who spoke to VOA on condition of anonymity to discuss the package prior to its announcement.

The availability of 155 mm rounds has raised concerns in recent days as U.S. partners Ukraine and Israel both need them to fight their wars, one against Russia’s invasion, the other against Palestinian militant group Hamas, who killed hundreds of Israelis and kidnapped dozens more in a brazen terrorist attack on October 7.

Washington has said it is able to support Tel Aviv’s and Kyiv’s military needs.

The U.S. withdrew some 155 mm rounds from its war reserves stockpile in Israel to replenish U.S. stockpiles in Europe earlier this year, but after October 7, much of those rounds were redirected back to Israel to provide to the Israel Defense Forces, according to a senior defense official.

“Yes, 155 [mm rounds] is an area that both have in common. But broadly speaking, that’s just one small area, and we don’t assess right now that we’re going to have any problems providing them with both,” Pentagon press secretary Brig. Gen. Pat Ryder told reporters Monday.

Ukraine launched ATACMS at Russian forces last week after the United States secretly provided a small number of the long-range ballistic missiles to Ukraine in recent days. The ATACMS provided to Ukraine have a maximum range of about 170 kilometers (106 miles), nearly twice as far as the other HIMARS artillery rockets in Ukraine’s arsenal and have allowed Ukraine to reach deeper into Russian-controlled territory.

Ukraine said last week that it destroyed at least nine Russian helicopters, an anti-aircraft launcher and an ammunitions depot in Berdiansk and Luhansk during attacks in which ATACMS are thought to have been used against Russian positions.

“Our agreements with President [Joe] Biden are being implemented, and they are being implemented very accurately. ATACMS have proven themselves,” Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said following the attacks.

The package expected Wednesday marks the 49th time that the U.S. has used the presidential drawdown authority to provide Ukraine’s miliary with equipment from U.S. stockpiles.

The U.S. has provided about $44 billion in security assistance to Ukraine since the beginning of Russia’s unprovoked invasion in February 2022.

The Pentagon still has about $5 billion of congressionally approved funding for Ukrainian military aid, after the Pentagon discovered in June that it had overestimated the value of weapons shipped to Ukraine by about $6 billion.

When calculating its aid package estimates, the Defense Department was counting the cost incurred to replace the weapons given to Ukraine, while it should have been totaling the cost of the systems actually sent, officials told VOA at the time the error was found.

The Pentagon continues to dip into its aid arsenal despite Congress excluding new aid for Ukraine in a stopgap spending bill passed last month to prevent a government shutdown.

Soon after the stopgap spending bill passed, the House ousted House Speaker Kevin McCarthy from his position as speaker.

The House has yet to vote in a new speaker, and new aid for Ukraine could hinge on who is selected.

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Zara Owner Inditex to Buy Recycled Polyester From US Start-Up

Zara-owner Inditex, the world’s biggest clothing retailer, has agreed to buy recycled polyester from a U.S. start-up as it aims for 25% of its fibers to come from “next-generation” materials by 2030.

As fast-fashion retailers face pressure to reduce waste and use recycled fabrics, Inditex is spending more than $74 million to secure supply from Los Angeles-based Ambercycle of its recycled polyester made from textile waste.

Polyester, a product of the petroleum industry, is widely used in sportswear as it is quick-drying and durable.

Under the offtake deal, Inditex will buy 70% of Ambercycle’s production of recycled polyester, which is sold under the brand cycora, over three years, Inditex CEO Oscar Garcia Maceiras said at a business event in Zaragoza, Spain.

Garcia Maceiras said Inditex is also working with other companies and start-ups in its innovation hub, a unit looking for ways to curb the environmental impact of its products.

“The sustainable transformation of Inditex … is not possible without the collaboration of the different stakeholders,” he said.

The Inditex investment will help Ambercycle fund its first commercial-scale textile recycling factory. Production of cycora at the plant is expected to begin around 2025, and the material will be used in Inditex products over the following three years.

Zara Athleticz, a sub-brand of sportswear for men, launched a collection on Wednesday of “technical pieces” containing up to 50% cycora. Inditex said the collection would be available from Zara.com.

Some apparel brands seeking to reduce their reliance on virgin polyester have switched to recycled polyester derived from plastic bottles, but that practice has come under criticism as it has created more demand for used plastic bottles, pushing up prices.

Textile-to-textile polyester recycling is in its infancy, though, and will take time to reach the scale required by global fashion brands.

“We want to drive innovation to scale-up new solutions, processes and materials to achieve textile-to-textile recycling,” Inditex’s chief sustainability officer Javier Losada said in a statement.

The Ambercycle deal marks the latest in a series of investments made by Inditex into textile recycling start-ups.

Last year it signed a $104 million, three-year deal to buy 30% of the recycled fiber produced by Finland’s Infinited Fiber Co., and also invested in Circ, another U.S. firm focused on textile-to-textile recycling.

In Spain, Inditex has joined forces with rivals, including H&M and Mango, in an association to manage clothing waste, as the industry prepares for EU legislation requiring member states to separately collect textile waste beginning January 2025.

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Johnson Next Republican to Try to Win House Speaker Role

Another Republican in the U.S. House of Representatives may seek a floor vote Wednesday to try to become the chamber’s next speaker, after lawmakers struggled for three weeks to fill one of the top leadership roles in the U.S. government.

Republicans meeting in a closed-door session late Tuesday picked Representative Mike Johnson as their latest House speaker candidate, and the fourth since Representative Kevin McCarthy was ousted from the job.

Johnson is a lawmaker from the state of Louisiana who rallied Republicans around former President Donald Trump’s legal effort to overturn the results of the 2020 election.

He received 128 votes Tuesday night to beat other candidates. McCarthy, who was not a declared candidate, came in second place with 43 votes.

It was unclear if Johnson would be able to muster the support of most of the Republicans in the House, something the three previous candidates to replace McCarthy have been unable to do.

Republicans hold a slim 221-212 majority, and with Democrats united behind House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries, any Republican candidate can only lose a few Republican votes and still achieve the simple majority threshold to win the speaker role.

Republicans moved on to Johnson after another candidate, Representative Tom Emmer, withdrew his candidacy earlier Tuesday.

Emmer had outlasted eight other candidates in rounds of secret balloting. The 62-year-old Emmer has served as majority whip, one of the top leadership posts in the House Republican Conference, since earlier this year.

Former President Donald Trump posted on his Truth Social media platform early Tuesday afternoon that he did not know Emmer well and referred to him as a RINO – a term meaning Republican in Name Only.

“The Republican Party cannot take that chance, because that’s not where the America First Voters are. Voting for a Globalist RINO like Tom Emmer would be a tragic mistake!” Trump posted.

As many as 20 Republican House lawmakers said they would not vote for Emmer, leading to his withdrawal.

The role of speaker of the House has been vacant since October 3 when eight Republicans joined with all 212 House Democrats to make McCarthy the first-ever speaker to be removed from his position.

A right-wing faction of the Republican Party was displeased with McCarthy for passing a short-term measure funding the government to keep it open past a September 30 deadline with Democratic legislators’ help.

Since McCarthy’s ouster, House Republicans have been unsuccessful in coalescing around a replacement. They first nominated Representative Steve Scalise of the southern state of Louisiana, who was not able to secure the needed votes.

The Republican caucus next gave its nod to Representative Jim Jordan of the Midwestern state of Ohio. Jordan is a conservative firebrand and staunch supporter of Trump.

But Jordan also failed to gain a 217-vote majority in the House, falling well short on a first vote in the full House and then losing ground on two subsequent ballots.

The Republican infighting has left the role of speaker unfilled, leaving the House unable to respond to crucial budget matters. A Nov. 17 deadline looms for budget issues to be resolved or a partial government shutdown will go into effect.

The speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives is second in the line of presidential succession.

 

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Richard Roundtree, Black Action Hero Who Played ‘Shaft,’ Dead At 81

Richard Roundtree, a trailblazing Black actor who played the private eye John Shaft in the “Shaft” films of the 1970s and also took on dramatic roles dealing with race relations in America, died on Tuesday aged 81, the Hollywood Reporter said, citing his manager.

Roundtree died at his home in Los Angeles of pancreatic cancer, the Reporter said, citing his manager, Patrick McMinn.

Roundtree’s representatives did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for confirmation.

“Richard’s work and career served as a turning point for African American leading men in film. The impact he had on the industry cannot be overstated,” McMinn said in a statement, according to Variety, another show business trade publication.

Roundtree shot to fame with the 1971 Blaxploitation movie “Shaft” about a private detective in the Harlem section of New York, and he reprised the role in a number of sequels and a short-lived network TV series.

The rugged and streetwise character, who wore flashy leather jackets and who was accompanied by a catchy theme song from Isaac Hayes, helped define cool for a Black leading man and also gained acceptance from white audiences.

Roundtree also had a role in the groundbreaking ABC television slavery drama “Roots” in 1977 and other prominent projects of the era, playing motorcycle daredevil Miles in 1974’s “Earthquake.”

Among his more poignant films was 1996’s “Once Upon a Time … When We Were Colored”, the story a tight-knit Black community confronting the racism of post-war Mississippi.

He also played opposite Peter O’Toole’s Robinson Crusoe in “Man Friday” in 1975 and alongside Laurence Olivier’s depiction of General Douglas MacArthur in 1981’s “Inchon.”

Roundtree worked regularly until the end, with 159 acting credits to his name plus three upcoming projects yet to be released, according to IMDB.com.

He was married twice and is survived by four daughters – Nicole, Tayler, Morgan and Kelli Roundtree – and his son, James, Variety said.

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Zelenskyy Vows to Reclaim All Territory Held by Russia

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy pledged Tuesday to reclaim areas of Ukraine currently occupied by Russian forces.

“Ukraine will reclaim its territory and its people,” Zelenskyy said in his nightly address.  “We will not leave anyone to the occupiers. We are using every means to ensure that this war ends with the defeat of the occupiers.”

He also said that despite doubts from many in the world, “Ukraine has shown that it can prevail, despite all the challenges, especially in the Black Sea region.”

Early Tuesday, Russia’s defense ministry said it destroyed three Ukrainian boats in the northern part of the Black Sea.

Russia also said it conducted an “anti-sabotage” operation near the Sevastopol port, which is home to its Black Sea fleet.

Ukraine said Tuesday that Russian attacks in two parts of the country wounded at least eight people.

In the Kherson region in southern Ukraine, Russian airstrikes and artillery fire wounded four people and damaged several houses, Interior Minister Igor Klymenko said on social media.

Klymenko also said a Russian attack in the Kharkiv region in northeastern Ukraine injured four people.

Ukraine’s air force said its defenses downed six drones that Russian launched from Crimea.

Some information for this report came from Agence France-Presse and Reuters

 

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US Sharing Intelligence Exonerating Israel in Hospital Blast

The United States is trying to rein in some of the outrage that inflamed tensions and sparked protests around the world following last week’s explosion at the Ahli Arab Hospital in Gaza.

Much of the anger has focused on Israel, with many protesters following the lead of the Palestinian militant group Hamas, which accuses Israel of carrying out an airstrike, calling the incident a “genocidal massacre.”

But the U.S. has been pushing back, publicly sharing its initial intelligence assessments while also sharing more detailed findings with key governments.

“We have gone out and shared analysis with a lot of our partners around the world,” a senior U.S. intelligence official told reporters late Tuesday, speaking on the condition of anonymity because of the sensitive nature of the incident.

“Thus far it’s been fairly robust in terms of what we’ve been able to provide,” the official added. “I suspect we will be updating it and sending additional information out as we move forward.”

It is unclear, at this point, how much of an impact the intelligence sharing is having. 

Jordan and Egypt last week called off a summit with U.S. President Joe Biden in Amman, blaming Israel for the blast. And the explosion continues to be featured prominently at pro-Palestinian demonstrations around the world.

“One of the things that our diplomats have asked … is that the intelligence community do more to lay out our thinking,” the senior official said.

And it is not just U.S. diplomats. 

“There has been intense interest in the hospital explosion and conflicting accounts about what happened,” a second senior U.S. official told VOA. “The U.S. government has worked to be able to share as much information as we could in the interest of transparency.”

The tactic of declassifying and sharing this type of sensitive intelligence is increasingly part of the U.S. playbook.

U.S. officials used it most notably in the lead-up to Russia’s February 2022 invasion of Ukraine. 

Since then, however, the U.S. has used what the White House calls “strategic downgrades” to counter Chinese claims about a spy balloon that traversed much of the United States and to defuse a potential crisis in Mali.

And in the case of last week’s explosion at the Ahli Arab Hospital, U.S. intelligence officials believe there is compelling evidence to exonerate Israel.

Based on information culled from a variety of sources, including satellite imagery, data on missile activity and intercepted communications, as well as publicly available video and images, U.S. intelligence officials have concluded with “high confidence” that Israel was not responsible for the hospital explosion.

“There are two primary reasons,” said a second U.S. intelligence official, who like the other officials, spoke on the condition of anonymity.

“The first is what we see when we look at the blast effects,” the official said. “The damage at the hospital is consistent with what we would expect to see from a rocket and inconsistent with the larger craters and broader blast effects that we would expect to see were this an airdrop munition or an artillery round.

“The detonation of the warhead resulted in only light structural damage at the hospital,” the official continued. “There was no observable damage to the main hospital building, no large impact craters, only light damage to the roofs of the two structures near the main hospital building. And both of them remained intact.”

The second reason for high confidence that Israel was not involved, according to the official, comes from videos that captured the launch and explosion, from four different angles.

Based on two of the videos, U.S. intelligence determined the rocket was launched from within the Gaza Strip, traveling in a northeasterly direction.

Then, about 10 seconds into the rocket’s flight, the motor starts having trouble and becomes unstable.

“We can tell that in part based on the fluctuating intensity of the rocket’s plume,” the official said.

Five seconds later, the videos show a flash – “our assessment is that that is the rocket motor failing,” the official said, and five seconds after that, one object hit the ground followed by a second, a few seconds later, resulting in a large explosion.

“Our conclusion is that there was a catastrophic motor failure that likely occurred which separated the motor and the warhead,” the official said. “The warhead landed in the hospital compound.”

Gaza’s health ministry said the explosion killed about 500 people. But U.S. officials told VOA news last week that they assessed the number of deaths was likely between 100 and 300, with the actual death toll likely on the lower end of the scale.

Officials late Tuesday said getting a more accurate count will likely be difficult and cast doubt on the ability of Hamas authorities to keep track of casualties given that they themselves “are struggling to function at this point in time.”   

U.S. intelligence officials likewise pushed back on some theories, popular on social media, that seek to blame Israel for a Palestinian rocket falling in Gaza, including claims that the rocket was shot down by Israel’s Iron Dome defense system.

“Our understanding is that the Iron Dome would not intercept a rocket that was still burning,” the U.S. intelligence official said. “Their SOPs [standard operating procedures] are that they would have to calculate where it’s likely to go. And until that rocket has finished burning through its propellant, it’s not going to be clear exactly how far it’s going to go.”

And the officials backed up Israeli claims that the failure rate for Hamas rockets is high. Israel in recent days has said that on Oct. 21 alone, as many as one in five Hamas rockets failed, hitting Gaza instead of targets in Israel.

One area in which U.S. intelligence is still trying to get clarity is the question of who fired the rocket that ended up striking the Ahli Arab Hospital.

The current U.S. assessment points to Palestinian Islamic Jihad, another Palestinian militant group, as the most likely culprit. But officials say they have “low confidence” in the finding because it is based, in part, on an intercepted communication between other militants thought to be part of Hamas. 

“They themselves are speculating about who’s responsible,” the U.S. intelligence official said, adding the audio examined by U.S. intelligence is different than audio circulated by Israeli officials last week, which has been subject to criticism.

“There is additional audio that was passed to us by the Israelis that has been carefully vetted and determined to be authentic communications of Palestinian militants. … The language patterns have been evaluated and determined to be authentic,” according to the official.

Palestinian Islamic Jihad has denied it launched the rocket that fell on the Ahli Arab Hospital.

But U.S. officials counter that, using geolocation techniques and other data, they are confident the rocket that caused the damage was fired from Gaza and suffered a catastrophic failure, causing the warhead to land by the hospital.

Still, they say if new information comes to light, they will examine it closely.

“This issue is not closed for us,” said the senior U.S. intelligence official. “If we get additional information that would point in a different direction, we would report that out, as well.”

 

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US Forces in Iraq, Syria Targeted 13 Times in Past Week

U.S. forces in Iraq and Syria have been attacked with drones or rockets at least 13 times over the past week, Pentagon press secretary Brigadier General Pat Ryder said Tuesday, confirming earlier VOA reporting.

Responding to a question from VOA, Ryder blamed Iranian-backed proxies for the near daily attacks on U.S. forces.

“We know that the groups conducting these attacks are supported by the IRGC [Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps] and the Iranian regime. What we are seeing is the prospect for more significant escalation against U.S. forces and personnel across the region in the very near term coming from Iranian proxy forces and ultimately from Iran,” he said.

“If and when we would decide to respond, we will do so at a time and place of our choosing,” Ryder added.

The attacks have resulted in about 20 minor injuries to Americans in Syria and four minor injuries to American personnel in Iraq, all of whom have returned to duty, two U.S. officials told VOA. The military continues to monitor for any potential traumatic brain injuries caused by the attacks, one of the officials added.

One U.S. contractor at al-Asad Air Base in Iraq died after suffering a cardiac episode while sheltering in place during a false alarm for an air attack.

Attacks across bases

U.S. troops shot down two one-way attack drones targeting American forces at al-Tanf garrison in southern Syria on Monday, resulting in no injuries.

On Saturday, a one-way attack drone targeted al-Asad Air Base in western Iraq, resulting in no casualties or damage.

Three separate attacks occurred at al-Harir Air Base in northern Iraq on Friday, as U.S. and coalition forces were targeted with three one-way attack drones, resulting in no casualties or damage.

On Thursday, Iranian-backed militants targeted U.S. and coalition forces in four locations across Iraq and Syria. At Green Village, a Syrian Democratic Forces base in northeastern Syria that hosts coalition troops, U.S. forces shot down a one-way attack drone that resulted in no casualties. At Mission Support Site Euphrates in Syria, multiple rockets launched toward the base resulted in no damage or injuries. In Iraq, rocket attacks targeted forces at al-Asad Air Base and U.S. and coalition forces near Baghdad’s International Airport, but neither resulted in casualties or damage.

Four additional attacks occurred on October 18, according to U.S. officials. Two drones targeted al-Tanf garrison in Syria during one attack. U.S. and coalition forces destroyed one drone, while the other drone reached the base and resulted in minor injuries to about 20 personnel, two U.S. officials confirmed to VOA.

U.S. forces in northern Iraq shot down another drone in the early hours of October 18 near al-Harir Air Base, formerly known as Bashur Air Base, resulting in no injuries or damage to coalition equipment or facilities. Two drones targeted al-Asad Air Base in two separate attacks on October 18; one was shot down and the other was damaged, resulting in minor injuries to coalition forces.

Ryder had said last week that these attacks occurred on October 17, but an official told VOA that he was referring to the time in Washington when they occurred, not the local time in Iraq.

US increasing protection in region

U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin on Saturday placed an undisclosed number of troops on prepare-to-deploy orders and activated the deployment of a Terminal High Altitude Area Defense battery as well as additional Patriot batteries to locations throughout the region to increase force protection for U.S. forces.

“What you see from this posture announcement … is that we are preparing for this escalation, both in terms of defending our forces and being prepared to respond decisively,” a senior defense official told reporters Monday.

Austin had already placed more than 2,000 military personnel on heightened alert with a prepare-to-deploy order last Tuesday.

The USS Dwight D. Eisenhower carrier strike group is speeding to the Middle East region, and the USS Gerald R. Ford carrier strike group remains in the eastern Mediterranean.

Three ships with the USS Bataan amphibious ready group are positioning thousands of Marines in waters near Israel. A squadron of A-10 attack aircraft has arrived in the Middle East, with another A-10 squadron’s deployment extended, and more F-15 and F-16 fighter jets also are rolling into the region.

The U.S. has said the increased military presence is intended to deter malign actors such as Hezbollah or Iran from expanding the conflict.

Last week, the USS Carney, a Navy destroyer in the Red Sea, shot down four missiles and multiple drones launched by Iranian-backed Houthis in Yemen, weapons that the Pentagon said were “heading along the Red Sea, potentially toward targets in Israel.”

There were no casualties, and the ship did not appear to be the target of the attack, Ryder said.

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Emmer Becomes Third Republican to Withdraw From Speaker Race

Republican Representative Tom Emmer withdrew his candidacy for speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives on Tuesday, the latest setback for lawmakers who have struggled for three weeks to fill one of the top leadership roles in the U.S. government.

The role of speaker of the House has been vacant since October 3 when Representative Kevin McCarthy became the first-ever speaker to be removed from his position. Eight Republicans joined with all 212 House Democrats for that vote. 

A right-wing faction of the Republican Party was displeased with McCarthy for passing a short-term measure funding the government to keep it open past a September 30 deadline.   

Emmer outlasted eight other candidates in rounds of secret balloting earlier Tuesday. The 62-year-old Emmer has served as majority whip, one of the top leadership posts in the House Republican Conference, since earlier this year. He has represented the Midwestern state of Minnesota since 2015.

Former President Donald Trump posted on his Truth Social media platform early Tuesday afternoon that he did not know Emmer well and referred to him as a RINO – a term meaning Republican in Name Only.

“The Republican Party cannot take that chance, because that’s not where the America First Voters are. Voting for a Globalist RINO like Tom Emmer would be a tragic mistake!” Trump posted.

As many as 20 Republican House lawmakers said they would not vote for Emmer, and he withdrew later in the day.

Since McCarthy’s ouster, House Republicans have been unsuccessful in coalescing around a replacement. They first nominated Representative Steve Scalise of the southern state of Louisiana, who was not able to secure the needed votes.

The Republican caucus next gave its nod to Representative Jim Jordan of the Midwestern state of Ohio. Jordan is a conservative firebrand and staunch supporter of Trump. 

But Jordan also failed to gain a 217-vote majority in the House, falling well short on a first vote in the full House and then losing ground on two subsequent ballots.

The Republican infighting has left the role of speaker unfilled, leaving the House unable to respond to crucial budget matters. A November 17 deadline looms for budget issues to be resolved or a partial government shutdown will go into effect.

The U.S. Speaker of the House is second in the line of presidential succession.   

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Chad Installs Defense Minister Amidst Calls to End Military Impunity

Chad’s transitional government installed a civilian defense minister Monday to prepare for a return to constitutional rule. The move comes amid fresh protests and accusations that the military junta is intimidating and silencing the opposition ahead of December’s constitutional referendum and elections.

Chad’s Transitional Military Council says Dago Yacouba officially took up the post on Monday. President Mahamat Idriss Deby appointed Yacouba on October 21 to help fight armed gangs and rebel groups and maintain peace as the central African state military junta prepares for a constitutional referendum on December 17.

Speaking on Chad’s state TV, Yacouba said he will ensure that government troops defend Chad from what he calls forces of destabilization for civilians to live in peace and unity. 

He vowed never to betray the confidence entrusted to him, saying he would serve Chad to the best of his ability and not cater to the egotistical interests of people looking to destabilize state institutions.

Yacouba added that after the constitutional referendum, he will make sure peace reigns in Chad until the mandate of the Transitional Military Council led by Mahamat Idriss Deby ends when elections are held in November 2024 to hand over power to civilian rule.

Before his appointment, Yacouba served as deputy secretary general of The Patriotic Salvation Movement MPS, Chad’s former ruling political party. MPS was created by Chad’s former president Idriss Deby Itno in 1990.

Deby was killed as he visited troops fighting rebels on April 20, 2021 at the age of 68. His son Mahamat Idriss Deby was named head of an 18-month transitional council on April 21, 2021.

Djelassem Donangmbaye Felix, coordinator of A New Day, one of Chad’s about 300 opposition political parties, said Yacouba was appointed defense minister because of his loyalty to the military junta and the Deby family. He added that Yacouba will crack down on the opposition to maintain the Deby family grip on power. 

 

Donangmbaye said there are no signs Chad’s Transitional Military Council will listen to divergent views that will help the central African state organize free, fair and transparent elections for a smooth transition to civilian rule. He said frustration is accumulating because Chad’s military leader prohibits public political meetings to educate civilians on rights and duties during elections and the December 17 constitutional referendum.

Donangmbaye spoke via a messaging app from Chad’s capital N’Djamena. He said patriotic civilians, not people who have worked closely with the iron-fisted rule of the Deby family, should be appointed to top government positions.

Chad’s opposition says that when Yacouba was taking office, protests were held asking for the release of scores of people arrested since Oct. 20, 2022, during demonstrations in which 128 people were killed and 518 injured.

Chad state TV showed images of fresh protests for an end to what the opposition calls the violent crackdown on civilians that criticize the military junta.

Chad’s military government says claims it has prohibited political rallies are not true, but that it expects each opposition leader to obtain authorization before holding gatherings attended by more than two dozen civilians. The military junta says when it is informed of potential meetings, it takes measures to protect people, property and public infrastructure should demonstrators become violent.

Matkissam Gouverneur Faycal, political affairs lecturer at the University of N’Djamena, said some opposition parties that want the military government to step down manipulate public opinion to give the impression that all is wrong in Chad.

He said the appointment of a civilian defense minister is not an indication the military junta will stop fighting crime and making sure political parties and activists respect Chad’s laws. It is the duty of the military, he said, to continue to ensure that peace reigns in Chad while respecting the rights of civilians.

Yacouba replaced General Daoud Yaya Brahim, who resigned with Chad’s Secretary-general Haliki Choua Mahamat after separate tapes purportedly showing them engaging in sex acts were shared on social media. Chad’s opposition says the tapes are an indication that people of questionable morality have been appointed to top government positions in Chad.

Chad has not responded to allegations that President Deby forced government officials to resign to ensure the transition to democratic rule is free of scandals.

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Nigerians Praise Court Ruling in Multibillion-Dollar Gas Deal

Nigerian authorities are praising a London high court ruling Monday that overturned $11 billion in damages stemming from a collapsed gas project between Africa’s largest economy and a private company.

In a statement, Nigerian President Bola Tinubu lauded the London Business and Property Court’s ruling in the 2010 gas deal, calling it a victory for what officials termed the “long exploited” African continent.

“Nation states will no longer be held hostage by economic conspiracies between private firms and solitary corrupt officials,” Tinubu said.

Nigeria and Process and Industrial Developments, a firm based in the British Virgin Islands, signed the contract to construct a gas processing plant in Nigeria’s oil-rich region.

The deal, however, fell through, and P&ID took the Nigerian government to court in Britain.

In 2017, an arbitration tribunal ordered Nigeria to pay a $6.6 billion contract award and interest to P&ID.

The government appealed that decision.

The court on Monday said the company had in 2010 paid a bribe to a Nigerian oil ministry official in connection with the deal.

The court also said that P&ID did not disclose that information when the deal failed to materialize and that two British lawyers defending the company stood to benefit if the court ruled in favor of the firm.

Nigerian political analyst Rotimi Olawale said the decision is a relief for Africa’s biggest economy.

“Nigeria literally dodged a major bullet, knowing the foreign exchange issues the country is facing at the moment,” Olawale said. “Getting a judgment of $11 billion would’ve been a big blow to Nigeria’s financial situation.”

The company’s lawyers say they’re disappointed by the outcome and are considering next steps. The firm has denied the fraud allegations and accused Nigeria of incompetence.

Nigeria’s economy has been struggling with spiraling inflation and mounting debts for years. More recently, government reform policies have seen Nigeria’s foreign exchange reserve dwindle significantly, increasing the scramble for U.S. dollars and weakening the local tender.

The $11 billion would have been about one-third of Nigeria’s foreign exchange reserves.

Ebenezer Oyetakin, founder of the Anti-Corruption Network, said the ruling couldn’t have come at a better time.

“It is an example of how many African countries have been mortgaging their economy,” he said. “Definitely it would be of huge help to the dwindling Nigerian economy as we’re witnessing currently. But we should not rest on our oars. We should continue to absolutely stand against corruption.”

Olawale said Nigeria and all of Africa must address institutional corruption.

“The judgment should also give us an opportunity to tidy our home front,” Olawale said. “I feel that Nigeria, like many developing countries, goes into all kinds of dubious contracting. It is on us as a nation to ensure that we do our due diligence and that we harmonize the process in which we do contracting with other parties.”

Reports say the London court could decide to send the case back to arbitration or abandon it without delay.

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Africa’s Young Community Leaders Honored as Global Changemakers

As the world seeks strong leadership to find solutions to its many social, political and economic crises, Africa is celebrating 50 young people who are making a difference on the continent. They have been named “Global Changemakers” at an African Youth Summit in Rawsonville, South Africa. Vicky Stark was there and filed this report. Camera — Shadley Lombard.

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